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🪙💡Update on ETH: Further up or down?
1. Technical Analysis
Price Level: 3,416 USDT
The price is currently testing the 50-SMA (around 3,416 USDT), which is acting as a key resistance level. This level is significant within the Bollinger Bands and moving averages.
A break above 3,416 USDT with strong volume could signal the beginning of a short-term bullish trend.
Support and Resistance:
Support:
3,347 USDT: Recent key support level that must hold to avoid further downside.
Below that: 3,300 USDT (a psychological support zone).
Resistance:
3,416 USDT: Current test point. Breaking this level would be bullish.
Next resistance: 3,470–3,500 USDT.
RSI (Relative Strength Index):
Likely in a neutral range (50–55), signaling slight improvement but no strong bullish momentum yet.
An RSI above 60 would confirm increasing bullish strength.
Volume:
Volume remains low, indicating a lack of conviction from both bulls and bears.
A spike in volume accompanying a break above 3,416 USDT would strengthen the bullish case.
---
2. Impact on existing Long Position
If the Price Breaks Above 3,416 USDT:
Hold your position.
Watch for the next resistance zone at 3,470–3,500 USDT.
If volume increases, consider holding for higher targets or taking partial profits at 3,500 USDT.
If the Price Drops Below 3,347 USDT:
A retest of the support zone around 3,300 USDT may occur.
Keep your SL at 3,240 USDT to protect against further downside.
---
3. Actionable Recommendations
Short-Term (Today/Next 24 Hours):
Monitor the 3,416 USDT level closely:
If it breaks upward: Hold your position and aim for the next target of 3,470–3,500 USDT.
If it rejects downward: Watch for a possible retest of the 3,347–3,300 USDT zone.
Mid-Term (Next Few Days):
A break below 3,300 USDT would indicate weakness. In this case, a stop-loss at 3,240 USDT becomes critical.
---
4. Summary
Key Resistance Zone: 3,416 USDT. A break above this level could lead to a bullish move.
Stop-Loss: Keep it at 3,240 USDT for risk management.
Key Watch Point: Look for a significant volume increase above 3,416 USDT for a bullish confirmation; otherwise, the price may remain vulnerable to corrections.
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