Institutional Analysis: The U.S. labor market is stabilizing, but underlying softness still requires attention

Golden Finance reports that on April 3, Jason Pride, head of investment strategy and research at Glenmede, said that after slight volatility in February, the U.S. labor market may be regaining its footing. In March, 178k new jobs were added, far exceeding expectations, while in February, after revision, net employment fell by 133k jobs. However, the labor market should not be judged solely by surface-level data. He noted that fluctuations in the monthly nonfarm payroll employment figures have intensified, indicating that the pace of the labor market is slowing; this both reflects pressure from demographic structure and reflects weakening labor demand. He also said that the decline in the unemployment rate is due more to workers exiting the labor market rather than to new jobs being created, and this trend may hint at underlying weakness that’s worth watching in the coming months.

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