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March 27th Leading Stock Review: Where Are the Structural Opportunities for Huadian Liaoning Energy's High-Level Fluctuations?
As a veteran of TaoGuBa, I won’t waste words, only share experiences. I firmly believe: there are no shortcuts in leading strategies, only adherence to principles. If you can hold onto the core leaders, maintain risk control thresholds, and keep a calm mindset, you can achieve long-term profits in the stock market. I only speak logic, do not recommend stocks, and do not provide any investment advice.[TaoGuBa]
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On Friday, the market exhibited a textbook-style V-shaped reversal. After a panic sell-off in the morning, capital flowed back in all directions, and the index and sentiment were restored in sync. As a veteran who adheres to leading strategies, I do not pay attention to the “virtual red” of the index; I only focus on the core leaders of two main lines and the rhythm of their progression. Today, I’ll break down the market using practical logic and explain what it means to “only do the strongest, not the weak.”
First, let’s present the data, then the logic. On March 27, the Shanghai Composite Index opened down 0.5% and tested a low of 3852.09 points, then rebounded to close at 3913.72 points, a rise of 0.63%, with an intraday fluctuation of over 70 points, a typical “bottom-fishing rebound”; the Shenzhen Component Index was even stronger, rising 1.13%, the ChiNext Index 0.71%, and the Sci-Tech 50 surged 0.93%, with the growth track outperforming the blue chips across the board.
The total transaction volume of the Shanghai, Shenzhen, and Beijing markets was 1.86 trillion yuan, a decrease of 93.2 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day. The shrinking volume on the rise is a key signal - it indicates that funds are not blindly chasing high prices, but rather that previously trapped positions are reluctant to sell, and capital is accurately clustering around the core main lines, indicating “effective restoration” rather than “inducing more buying.” On the individual stock level, 4337 stocks rose, and 1073 fell, with a rise-and-fall ratio of about 4:1, showing a clear pattern of broad-based increases; however, with 89 stocks hitting the upper limit and 10 stocks hitting the lower limit, this indicates that the restoration is structural, not a mindless broad rise.
One-sentence summary of core characteristics: morning ice-point sentiment → capital flowing back to main lines → leaders driving sentiment → stabilized with reduced volume. The core of the leading strategy is to find the “counter-trend” in the freezing point and lock in the “leading stocks” during the warming phase, and today’s market perfectly verified this.
2. Market Focus:
Huadian Liaoning Energy: Can be seen as the position of Li Shimin of the Tang Dynasty. The absolute king of the power sector, it had a significant drop at the close on the 26th, and many said it was to control volatility. Of course, this is just one reason; more so, it was due to certain speculative funds engaging in commercial aerospace, deliberately crashing the market at the most relaxed time at the close, causing panic. This created a false image of commercial aerospace positioning, leading funds to flee from power back to this false image. If you don’t understand, you can look at the dragon and tiger lists of Huadian and Zaiseng, Western, and Xice on March 26 to see how bad they were. This morning opened high directly for recovery, but there was no significant negative feedback throughout the day.
Viewpoint: Continue to be optimistic; the probability of breaking 200% volatility is high; otherwise, it wouldn’t be called a dragon. Moreover, calculating electricity is a super big topic written into the 15th Five-Year Plan, so it won’t move until it breaks the 5-day line.
Yunnan Power Holdings: Can be seen as the position of Li Yuan of the Tang Dynasty, the retired emperor. Although influential, unfortunately, the imperial power is no longer there. It went up at the close today, but the smaller stocks in the sector did not recognize it, and there was no bulk rise, indicating that the influence is insufficient, and it has lost its past appeal. If it cannot rise high on Monday, be cautious of risks at previous highs.
Guangxi and Jinkong: The position of a prince, still alive. Just enjoy the performance; on Monday, mutual carding will occur. Once the heir dispute fails, the other will be the time for risk to materialize. Even if it succeeds, the height will not be very high because the old dragon has not weakened yet. Specific analysis will be done in combination with market volume during the session.
Others: No highlights, taking turns to appear. Today, they show up, and tomorrow they will be hit. As a short-term player, you can give up; even if you do it right on the day, the next day you cannot ensure that you can take away profits. Best to give up.
Core Line Breakdown: The dual leadership battle between innovative drugs and lithium mines, who can go further
Today, there was no single main line, but rather a dual main line of innovative drugs + lithium mines running in parallel. This is the biggest opportunity point in the market and also the place most prone to pitfalls. I will thoroughly explain both lines using the “core logic + leading targets + practical rhythm” of the leading strategy.
(1) Innovative Drugs: The strongest main line catalyzed by weight loss drugs, Meinuohua is the emotional benchmark.
Innovative drugs are the leading main line today, with the sector rising over 3.7%. More than 10 stocks such as Lianhuan Pharmaceutical, Shutaishen, and Xinlitai hit the upper limit, while Ketaobiotech and other 20cm targets surged strongly, indicating a strong desire for capital to attack.
Core Logic
The orders for GLP-1 weight loss drug raw materials are confirmed + overseas cooperation catalyzed. Meinuohua reached a cooperation of over 1 billion yuan for GLP-1 raw materials with overseas pharmaceutical companies, with Q1 performance expected to increase by over 300%, directly igniting the sector’s sentiment and becoming the core anchor for capital clustering.
Leading Targets and Practical Rhythm
• Core Leader: Meinuohua (603538)
Position: 6 days and 5 boards, a benchmark for the innovative drug sector, with maximum capital recognition.
Market Performance: After opening low in the morning, it quickly surged, stabilizing in the afternoon, with a turnover rate of 9.81%, showing extremely strong capital support, with no risk signals of “excessive explosion rates.”
• Supplementary Leader: Wanbangde (002082)
Position: The secondary leader of innovative drugs, overlapping with the Alzheimer’s concept, making it a 2-day consecutive board, acting as a supplementary rise to Meinuohua, with ample elasticity.
Practical Rhythm: Only buy on dips, do not chase high, as the height of supplementary targets is limited. Once the leader weakens, supplementary stocks will fall first, avoiding high-position purchases.
Apart from Meinuohua, there’s no need to look at others; if the underlying stock is strong, it can be combined with convertible bond arbitrage.
(2) Lithium Mines: The trend main line driven by lithium carbonate price increases, Rongjie Shares is the total leader.
Lithium mining is the second main line today, with the sector exploding across the board, with stocks like Ganfeng Lithium, Haike Xinyuan, and Shida Shenghua hitting the upper limit, and Rongjie Shares making a 4-day consecutive board, becoming one of the total leaders in the market.
Core Logic
Concerns about reduced production in Australian lithium mines + the continuous rise in lithium carbonate prices, the performance expectations of the industry chain are being restored, with funds shifting from blue-chip stocks to the growth track of lithium mines, forming a trend opportunity.
Leading Targets and Practical Rhythm
• Core Leader: Rongjie Shares (002192)
Position: The total leader of the lithium mining sector, with 4 consecutive boards, benefiting most directly from rising lithium carbonate prices, and the strongest capital clustering.
Market Performance: After opening low in the morning, it fluctuated upward and sealed in the afternoon, with a turnover rate of 16.26%, showing stable capital support without excessive volume risks.
• Accompanying Leader: Shida Shenghua (603026)
Position: Supplementary rise in lithium mines, with 2 consecutive boards, acting as a downstream target of the industry chain, with stronger elasticity than the leader.
Practical Rhythm: Focus on buying dips, be cautious when chasing high, as the sustainability of supplementary targets is not as strong as that of the leader, suitable for short-term speculation, not for long-term holding.
Sustainability is a significant consideration; if the market does not expand, this large-capacity sector does not look promising for sustainability. I tend to believe that the capital speculation logic mainly favors the performance of lithium batteries, focusing on short-term trades.
The consecutive board tier is the core indicator of the emotional cycle. Today’s tier structure directly determines the operational direction for tomorrow.
Consecutive Board Tier Breakdown
• 4 Boards (3 Stocks): XinNeng Taishan, Meinuohua, Rongjie Shares - core leaders of the dual main lines, the market’s height benchmark, with Monday being a crucial node that determines whether sentiment can continue to restore.
• 2 Boards (8 Stocks): Guangxi Energy, Jinkong Electric Power, Jinmei Technology, Wanbangde, Shenjian Shares, Dadongnan, Lianxiang Shares, Shida Shenghua - supplementary targets of the dual main lines, tomorrow’s advancement rate is expected to be low, only do core supplementary rises, and give up on the weak.
• 1 Board (68 Stocks): Lianhuan Pharmaceutical, Shutaishen, Ganfeng Lithium, etc. - first-board targets, tomorrow’s key focus is on the first-board advancement of the core main line, do not engage with weak first boards.
Core Risk Alerts
Mid-level stock connection breaks. Today, the advancement rate from 2 to 3 was 0, indicating insufficient willingness to connect mid-level stocks, with funds preferring to cluster around core leaders and low-position first boards, thus avoiding the risk of mid-level stock sell-offs. This is good news for leading strategies - only do the strongest, not the mid-level, reducing ineffective operations and increasing win rates.
Combining today’s market, I have broken down the practical operations of the leading strategy into “what has been done today” and “what to do tomorrow,” focusing on substantial actions rather than empty talk.
Today’s Practical Operations (Core of Leading Strategy)
Morning Ice-point Operations: Near 3852 points, with the index panicking and selling off, leading stocks in innovative drugs and lithium mines showed “counter-trend resilience” signals. Entered small positions in Meinuohua and Rongjie Shares, only doing trial and error, not heavy positions, because the morning sentiment was unclear and the risk was high.
Afternoon Warming Operations: The index turned red, with clear sector hotspots, increasing positions in core leaders Meinuohua and Rongjie Shares, locking in supplementary targets Wanbangde and Shida Shenghua, while giving up on weak stocks, strictly adhering to the principle of “only doing the strongest.”
Tomorrow’s Response Strategy (Core Focus)
Core Leader Strategy: Focus on Meinuohua and Rongjie Shares, looking for “discrepancy to consistency” tomorrow. If there’s a volume contraction and a quick seal, continue to lock in; if there’s an explosion at high levels, take profits in batches and do not linger; if it opens high and then hits the lower limit, it indicates the end of sentiment restoration, immediately clear positions and remain in cash waiting for the next opportunity.
If neither innovative drugs nor lithium mines meet expectations, focus on the leader of the power sector, Huadian Liaoning Energy.
Review Summary: The underlying logic of leading strategies, adherence to principles for longevity
Today’s market perfectly verified the core of leading strategies - only do the strongest, not the weak; go with the trend, not against it; strictly control risks, do not be greedy.
The V-shaped reversal is not an opportunity but a “touchstone” for selecting leaders. Those that resisted the drop in the morning are the true leaders; those that led the rise in the afternoon are the true main lines. The repair of reduced volume rises is more reliable than the induced buying of increased volume, as capital clusters around the core and does not blindly spread.**