March 25 Review

The following operations are solely for my personal record-keeping, with significant risks. Do not follow the trend.

Today’s Operations

Morning Session

Bought Zhongfu Shenying underwater and during the rally.

No operations in the afternoon.

Current Holdings

Liaoning Energy 50%

Shaoneng Shares 30%

Zhongfu Shenying 20%

Cash 20%

———

Market Sentiment

The index tested the weekly neckline and then rebounded with two consecutive positive days, reaching a high of 3933.06, closing part of the gap. Resistance is around 4000-4030, with room to move closer to resistance.

In the medium term, it is expected that the index will form a bottoming range between 3800 and 4030. After completing consolidation, a new direction will be chosen.

———

Data Summary

1. Limit-up stocks: 84, with the number of limit-ups at a moderately high level, flat compared to yesterday (86).

Trend of limit-ups: 28-28-28-83-84, rebounding for two consecutive days.

Indicator: below 50 is low, 50-90 mid-range, above 90 high.

2. Consecutive limit-up days: 8-7-5-6-23, rebounding from a low point, entering a high level.

Indicator: below 10 is low, 10-20 mid, above 20 high.

3. Limit-down stocks: 1, low in number, unchanged from yesterday (1).

Trend: 5-13-71-1-1, rapid convergence of loss effects.

Indicator: below 3 is low, 3-6 mid, above 6 high.

4. Limit-up board sealing rate: 86%.

Trend: 74%-55%-65%-79%-86%, first time entering a high level.

Indicator: below 70% is low, 70%-80% mid, above 80% high.

5. Number of advancing and declining stocks: 4874:560, with the number of advancing stocks at a high level for two days.

Trend: 505-662-305-5136-4874.

Indicator: decline count above 4000 is low, advance count above 4000 is high.

6. Market height: 4-5-6-7-8, continuous breakthrough in space height.

7. Data Summary

After a deep freeze, the market has seen two consecutive positive days. Data shows sustained high levels over two days, with a stronger-than-expected rebound. At the same time, high data levels over two days increase divergence expectations for tomorrow.

———

Market Main Line: Power

Sub-line Hotspot: Computing Power (Computing and Electricity Collaboration)

Intraday Hotspot: Military Industry, Cross-Strait

Leading Stock for Consecutive Limit-ups: Huadian Liaoning (7)

———

Market Nodes:

Eight limit-up: Shun Na’s rebound day (Power sector catch-up)

Three limit-up: Power sector catch-up node + extreme freeze of sentiment (Power catch-up)

Two limit-up: Major bullish node (Theme shift)

———

Today’s Limit-up Breaks and Rebounds:

None

Yesterday’s Limit-up Breaks and Rebounds:

Shaoneng Shares (Computing and Electricity Collaboration, limit-up)

———

Sentiment Cycle Analysis

Long-term position: Rotation cycle (Risk aversion cycle)

Short-term position: Sentiment recovery day (2)

Loss effect: Large

Cycle height: 8

Breakthrough Leaders 1: Yunnan Energy Holdings (7)

Breakthrough Leaders 2: Zhongfu Shenying (Flexibility, Trend)

Space Breakthrough Leader + Power Main Rise: Huadian Liaoning (8)

———

Market Observation

1. Capital Expectations

Huadian Liaoning advanced to 8 limit-ups, becoming a true power sector main rising leader. Power sector catch-up, active follow-up, market high and sentiment recovery resonate, market is in a main upward trend with strong profit-making effects.

Yesterday’s major bullish node shows that funds prepared two strategies: one for low-position power catch-up and rebound (sentiment recovery), and another for fermenting non-power themes, with preparations to break the limit-up of Huadian Liaoning.

However, actual operation shows that the plan for the second limit-up has fallen short. Besides power, it’s mainly about computing power, still within the “Computing and Electricity Collaboration” framework, mainly focusing on Huadian Liaoning’s back-end fermentation. For example, the first limit-up of computing power was Bori’s, a Northeast stock.

2. Node Postponement

Current limit-up echelon: whether for catch-up or follow-up, all are products of Huadian Liaoning’s main rising cycle. It’s too early to consider theme switching at this stage.

Next node should be Huadian Liaoning’s volume explosion. Based on the leader’s volume pattern and sector feedback, consider whether to do catch-up or switch. Be prepared for high-low switching.

3. Leader Positioning

Huadian Liaoning surpasses Yunnan Energy Holdings in height, becoming the main power sector leader. As mentioned yesterday, the cycle needs to be redefined, with Huadian Liaoning as the current main rising point.

Looking back, Zhongfu Shenying broke through on March 17, and Huadian Liaoning advanced to the second limit-up on the same day, roughly aligning. This confirms Zhongfu Shenying’s breakout remains valid, and after the breakout, a power sector leader surpassing Yunnan Energy Holdings emerged.

In this sense, Zhongfu Shenying has completed sentiment breakout, and the main rise has indeed appeared (though not in a new sector).

Currently, it’s the main rising cycle. If Huadian Liaoning breaks the limit-up, there will still be catch-up cycles later. Be prepared.

———

Personal Holdings

Bought Target

Zhongfu Shenying

As previously shared, generally during the main rising phase, breakout leaders have a high probability of strengthening. This has happened multiple times historically, so I’m taking a first-mover advantage today.

Technically, it rebounded from the 10-day moving average after a bottom on yesterday’s dip, restoring the pattern. Bought during the low today, betting on Huadian’s divergence expectations.

———

Yesterday’s Trading Plan Review

Did not specify particular stocks, mainly to avoid situations like Yunnan Energy Holdings’ pattern. Since no specific stocks were given, I won’t elaborate further.

———

Tomorrow’s Trading Plan

Huadian Liaoning will accelerate again with reduced volume, advancing to 8 limit-ups. If you missed the chance, it’s already quite passive. Since Huadian could explode at any time, plan based on its trend.

1. Expectation 1: Huadian’s gentle limit-up break

Whether tomorrow or the day after, as long as Huadian explodes with gentle limit-up and power sector doesn’t show extreme negative feedback, continue to expect power catch-up.

2. Expectation 2: Huadian’s negative feedback break

If a severe negative feedback occurs, consider theme switching. The specific direction is hard to judge in advance; watch the market response at that time.

3. Market Guidance

Military industry has been active for two days, still a risk-avoidance attribute. Considering current Middle East situation, funds are cautious about peace talks. Military activity indicates expectations of future conflicts; current peace talks are just a delaying tactic.

From this perspective, combined with Huadian Liaoning, I lean more towards power (or computing and electricity collaboration) catch-up after a break, rather than switching sectors. The risk-avoidance cycle will extend further.

———

Remarks

Please read the article carefully. The recap already covers the main points; I will not answer further questions.

———

Disclaimer

The above targets are not recommendations. For review purposes only. Buy and sell decisions are your own, with risks borne by yourself!

———

Finally, please support with likes and tips!