Galaxy Securities: Most Banks' Full-Year 2025 Performance Expected to Improve from First Three Quarters

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Rui Finance Yan Minghui Galaxy Securities Research Report states that recently, CITIC Bank released its 2025 annual report, and Shanghai Bank released its 2025 earnings quick report.

Among the 14 banks that have disclosed their performance so far, most have seen improvements in their full-year 2025 results compared to the first three quarters. Some joint-stock banks have achieved positive revenue growth, and some regional banks continue to maintain excellent industry-level revenue and profit growth.

Overall, the 14 banks have steady credit growth. The expected improvement in performance is mainly due to the narrowing and stabilization of interest rate spreads. At the same time, non-performing loan ratios remain stable or decline, and reserve coverage ratios remain at a high level. It is expected that reserve releases will still contribute to net profit. Some banks have seen an increase in reserve coverage ratios in Q4 2025, and there is a possibility of strengthening reserve provisions for key areas.

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