Prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket are implementing insider trading bans and establishing monitoring systems to prevent users from betting on outcomes they can influence. This shift aligns with new legislative initiatives aimed at restricting certain markets, marking a transition toward real-time regulation. An influx of mature institutional capital is accelerating this evolution, pushing prediction markets into a more mature yet increasingly complex phase where influence and access are key issues.
Prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket are implementing insider trading bans and establishing monitoring systems to prevent users from betting on outcomes they can influence. This shift aligns with new legislative initiatives aimed at restricting certain markets, marking a transition toward real-time regulation. An influx of mature institutional capital is accelerating this evolution, pushing prediction markets into a more mature yet increasingly complex phase where influence and access are key issues.