【Xingqi Research: Weekly Strategy】High Oil Prices Drive Tightening Trade Surge, Chemicals Strengthen While Precious Metals and Base Metals Weaken

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Market Outlook and Core Strategies

The Iran-U.S. conflict and Strait of Hormuz closure have entered their third week. International oil prices remain high and difficult to fall, with inflation risks significantly increasing. Major economies’ monetary authorities are signaling a hawkish stance. Before substantial easing signals appear in geopolitical narratives, the market may continue to favor tightening trades, with asset performance diverging. Chemicals and ferrous metals, which follow supply disruption and cost-based pricing logic, remain relatively strong, while precious metals and Shanghai copper, more affected by tightening expectations, are likely to weaken.

Edited on: March 22, 2026

The above content is from Industrial Futures Investment Consulting Department’s weekly strategy report “High Oil Prices Fuel Tightening Trades, Chemicals Remain Strong, Precious and Non-Ferrous Metals Weaken.”

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I hold a futures trading consulting qualification or equivalent professional competence granted by the China Futures Association. I guarantee that all data used in this report come from compliant sources. The analysis logic is based on my professional understanding. This report accurately reflects my research views, aiming to be independent, objective, and fair. The conclusions are not influenced or dictated by any third party. I have not received, nor will I receive, any form of compensation directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendations or opinions in this report. This report also does not involve any conflicts of interest.

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