Is It Time To Reassess Chart Industries (GTLS) After Muted Recent Share Price Moves?

Simply Wall St

Sat, February 14, 2026 at 6:13 PM GMT+9 5 min read

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•                                       StockStory Top Pick 
  

  GTLS

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If you are wondering whether Chart Industries at around US$206.77 is offering fair value today, you are not alone. This article is designed to help you make sense of that question.

The share price return is mixed, with a 0.3% gain year to date and 6.2% over 1 year, alongside a 56.3% return over 3 years and 54.3% over 5 years, while the last 7 and 30 days show very small moves of 0.3% decline and 0.1% decline respectively.

Recent attention on Chart Industries has been supported by ongoing interest in its equipment and solutions for gas and energy related applications, which can influence how investors think about long term demand and project pipelines. This wider context often shapes how the market prices the shares, even when short term price moves look relatively muted.

On our checks, Chart Industries scores 5 out of 6 on valuation, and you can see that score in detail here. Next we will compare several common valuation approaches, then finish by looking at a more complete way to think about what the stock is really worth.

Find out why Chart Industries’s 6.2% return over the last year is lagging behind its peers.

Approach 1: Chart Industries Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis

A Discounted Cash Flow, or DCF, model takes the cash Chart Industries is expected to generate in the future and discounts those cash flows back to today to estimate what the business could be worth right now.

For Chart Industries, the model uses last twelve months free cash flow of about $350.6 million as a starting point and then projects how that cash flow might develop. Analysts have provided detailed free cash flow estimates out to 2029, with Simply Wall St extrapolating further to 2035. By 2030, the projected free cash flow is $884 million, all expressed in $ and adjusted for the time value of money using a 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity approach.

When all those discounted cash flows are added up, the DCF model arrives at an estimated intrinsic value of about $292.85 per share. Compared with the current share price of around $206.77, this implies an intrinsic discount of roughly 29.4%. This suggests that Chart Industries may be trading below this DCF estimate.

Result: UNDERVALUED

Our Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) analysis suggests Chart Industries is undervalued by 29.4%. Track this in your watchlist or portfolio, or discover 53 more high quality undervalued stocks.

GTLS Discounted Cash Flow as at Feb 2026

Head to the Valuation section of our Company Report for more details on how we arrive at this Fair Value for Chart Industries.

Story Continues  

Approach 2: Chart Industries Price vs Sales

For a business like Chart Industries, where investors often focus on revenue and project pipelines, the P/S ratio is a useful way to think about what the market is paying for each dollar of sales. In general, higher growth expectations and lower perceived risk can justify a higher P/S multiple, while slower growth or higher risk usually call for a lower, more conservative range.

Chart Industries is currently trading on a P/S of 2.17x. That sits slightly below the Machinery industry average P/S of 2.34x and well below the peer group average of 3.76x. Simply Wall St also calculates a proprietary Fair Ratio of 2.62x for Chart Industries. This Fair Ratio is designed to reflect what a reasonable P/S might look like after considering factors such as earnings growth, profit margins, industry, market cap and company specific risks, rather than just comparing to broad industry or peer averages.

Because the current P/S of 2.17x is below the Fair Ratio of 2.62x, the shares screen as undervalued on this sales based metric.

Result: UNDERVALUED

NYSE:GTLS P/S Ratio as at Feb 2026

P/S ratios tell one story, but what if the real opportunity lies elsewhere? Start investing in legacies, not executives. Discover our 23 top founder-led companies.

Upgrade Your Decision Making: Choose your Chart Industries Narrative

Earlier we mentioned that there is an even better way to understand valuation. Let us introduce you to Narratives, which are simply your own story about Chart Industries linked directly to your assumptions for future revenue, earnings, margins and fair value, all hosted on Simply Wall St’s Community page that is used by millions of investors.

With a Narrative, you connect what you believe about the business, such as LNG, data centers, space exploration opportunities, order volumes or margin potential, to a financial forecast and then to a fair value. You can then compare that fair value to the current price and decide whether you see the stock as attractive, fully priced, or less appealing.

Narratives on the platform are updated automatically when new data arrives, including earnings, news and analyst estimate changes. This helps ensure your view does not stay static or quickly go out of date.

For example, on Chart Industries today, one Narrative prices the shares around US$169.00 based on more cautious earnings expectations, while another sees fair value closer to US$227.00 using stronger revenue and margin assumptions. You can place your own Narrative anywhere along that spectrum.

Do you think there’s more to the story for Chart Industries? Head over to our Community to see what others are saying!

NYSE:GTLS 1-Year Stock Price Chart

_ This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned._

Companies discussed in this article include GTLS.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly._ Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com_

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