Economic market high win rate address invested $4500, predicting "Strait of Hormuz will return to normal before May"

CryptoWorld News reports that, according to PolyBeats monitoring, on the prediction market Polymarket, within the past 24 hours, an address with a 77% win rate in an economic market invested $4,500 to buy “Yes” on the question “Will the Strait of Hormuz return to normal before May?” Currently, the probability of “Yes” for this event is 25%. The definition of “return to normal” is that if, between the market creation date and April 30, 2026, the IMF Portwatch reports a 7-day moving average of “ships arriving” at the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 on any date, the event settles as “Yes.” On the 17th, Iraq was negotiating with Iran to secure safe passage for its oil tankers through the Strait of Hormuz; Iraq’s oil minister also announced that the government is preparing to inspect and restart the long-idled Kirkuk-Ceyhan pipeline within a week to restore some external exports while the strait remains unstable. On the same day, a UAE presidential advisor stated that the UAE might join any international effort led by the U.S. to ensure the security of the Strait of Hormuz. This indicates that among the Gulf coastal countries, some have publicly expressed willingness to participate in a joint framework to stabilize the shipping route. Note: Based on its past trading patterns, this trader is not betting on whether the event will actually happen, but may close positions for profit or loss at certain times after opening. Account: 0x853c37a959a5791b849e3f3225c7f5963746bd03 Total investment: $4.5K --------------------------------- To see the future earlier, follow @PolyBeats_Bot See tomorrow, today. Follow @PolyBeatsEN