00:00, 02:00, 04:00... Every two hours, the world is manipulated once.

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What hidden national strategies are behind the punctual oil price suppression?

— Those red arrows that appear on time.

An unusually abnormal day since the Iran war began:

  • Oil prices rose on Tuesday, the US stock market rallied across the board, gold closed flat, US Treasuries increased, and the dollar declined—breaking the correlation between crude oil, stocks, and the dollar.

In this recent “war market” cycle, the pattern was either “oil and the dollar rise, everything else falls” or “oil and the dollar fall, everything else rises,” but yesterday’s closing was the first time this pattern appeared—the market forcibly ignoring the bad news brought by oil prices.

Throughout the trading day, traders discussed a “mysterious volatility.”

· On one hand, the flow through the Strait of Hormuz suddenly dropped to 700,000 barrels per day (a decrease of 19.3 million barrels per day), approaching a “historic energy crisis” interruption, yet oil prices did not surge far beyond $100—this “disappearance” of 19.3 million barrels coincided with the panic of disappearance.

· On the other hand, during the day, there were sharp fluctuations in oil prices without clear news triggers. These “unexplained” jumps sparked market speculation—whether there was some “intervention force” at play.

More and more people are realizing that the war could last longer, and almost all assets are trading around a core variable—“crude oil.” Therefore, the market is beginning to suspect someone is actively controlling this switch—perhaps Trump has established a “control team for oil prices” (not an individual, possibly a system), deliberately suppressing oil prices.

Look at this chart below: every time oil prices attempt to rise, they are suddenly suppressed. These suppressions happen right at the hour or within five minutes after the hour—around midnight, 2:00, 4:00, 6:00, 8:00 (every two hours). Oil prices suddenly reverse downward without any corresponding news, making such movements highly suspicious.

| By comparing the bottom timeline of the chart, these interventions almost all occur precisely at the top of the hour (or within five minutes afterward) Eastern Time.

In other words, each rebound in oil prices is knocked down near the hour—market trading is usually random and dispersed. Not once, but repeatedly. If it were just market behavior, it wouldn’t be so “precise, repetitive, and directionally consistent.” This isn’t done by human keyboard presses but by a “state-level market-making strategy.”

From another perspective, if such a mysterious team is indeed manipulating oil prices, then the disconnection between oil, stocks, and the dollar makes perfect sense.

If you want to see our deeper insights into the global markets, subscribe to “Global Market Notes: Fire and Fury.” After the loud bang, the defenses are shattered, and some things can never go back.

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