# Is BTC a Rebound or Reversal? Will Altcoins See a Catch-Up Rally Next? What Are the Signals for the End of the Market?

Let's look at the current market situation. BTC rallied to 76,000 today, and the short sellers got liquidated en masse. Actually, during my livestream yesterday, I emphasized to everyone that I won't choose to short at the 74,000 level anymore. The reason is simple: previously at the 70,000 level, BTC repeatedly tested that price, creating an illusion for retail traders that shorting at 70,000 was guaranteed profit. Ultimately, there was a massive liquidation. The 74,000 level this time follows the same logic.

During yesterday's livestream, I said that if you were shorting at 74,000, there's a good chance it would pump to above 75,000, liquidate you, and then pull back. In the short term, the market has followed exactly this trajectory.

Regarding BTC's next market direction—is it a rebound or reversal? My personal view remains unchanged: this is a rebound rally. In a bear market, rebounds of this magnitude are quite normal. Previously, BTC's first downtrend wave rebounded from 80,000 to 98,000. Currently, we're seeing the rebound of the second downtrend wave, bouncing from 60,000 to 75,000, even potentially to 78,000 later—all normal fluctuations. Based on historical experience, the rebound following BTC's second downtrend wave tends to have the largest magnitude and the longest consolidation period. Patience is key.

I've been consistently bullish since March 15, and the overall direction has proven correct so far, especially with my ETH long positions, which captured a major uptrend wave perfectly.

Currently, BTC is oscillating between 75,000 and 76,000. This was a temporary pullback low during the bull market around April 7, 2025, during the Trump tariff war period. Today it's become a resistance level in the bear market.

On the weekly chart, there's a gap formed during the downtrend: around 80,663 to 79,400.

Additionally, the Bollinger Band middle band is currently around 82,000.

These are all noteworthy potential resistance levels to monitor.

Today, a friend mentioned that BTC has 8 consecutive daily green candles—shouldn't this mean it's reversing?

I said: this is like back in late Q1 2025 when BTC dipped to around 75,000, and I stubbornly insisted the bull market wasn't over. In March-April 2026, if there's a rebound, I'll stubbornly insist the bear market isn't over either.

This is a rebound, not a reversal. However, we just need to trade according to the current phase. At least during this rebound rally, friends following my operations in the community have all captured it successfully.

Regarding mainstream coin trends: when ETH was pumped yesterday, I emphasized in my community that once it breaks 2,200, you should expand your position. Looking at it now, everything checks out. Congratulations to friends who followed the trades. Currently, for ETH, SOL, and XRP among the major mainstream coins, my community's operations—though with varying holding periods—have all captured this wave of movement.

Key levels for ETH are 2,400, SOL is 100, XRP is 1.65. For these major mainstream coins, focus on these short-term targets. BNB has its own rhythm; breaking 700 should be no problem.

Which altcoin sector should we focus on next?

I recommended focusing on AI-sector coins, and the next day, TAO, RENDER, FET, NEAR, TURBO—all these AI-sector coins took off. Today, VIRTUAL and WLD also took off. The AI sector in the short term is no longer suitable for chasing highs; if you missed it, then you missed it. The MEME sector is already flying.

So next, we can continue focusing on the DeFi sector. This sector is highly correlated with ETH. Currently, ETH's strength will drive a wave of DeFi sector outperformance. AAVE, CRV, LDO, PENDLE, UNI, RAY—you can appropriately pay attention to these DeFi-sector coins, screen for low-position coins to ambush some positions, make 10-20% profit on a swing trade, then exit.

So what's an important signal that each rally has ended?

It's when the bankruptcy sector coins start pumping—coins like LUNA, LUNC, USTC, FTT. According to historical patterns, whenever these coins start appearing in the top 5 gainers, this rebound rally is basically finished. At that point, you need to learn to exit in batches. This signal is something I exclusively created in the community, and it has been 100% accurate so far. I'm confident it will be accurate this time as well. The core logic is that all the coins that should pump have already pumped, and funds are making one final gamble on garbage coins before exiting.

That's my short-term market analysis. The market's movement is just this cycle repeating endlessly.

Set your alarms, DCA into Bitcoin during the bear market, hold for 3 years, and then just wait to count your money.

Making money is this simple; most people just aren't willing to believe it.

I hope you'll go through this difficult bear market with me. When the next bull market arrives, I hope we're both there.

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