【BTC Midday Simplified Strategy】2026.03.15

Core Status

- Current Price: $71,376.7, consolidating with low volume after sharp decline
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- Range: $70,300 ~ $71,620, low-volume rebound difficult to break resistance
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- Signal: Moving average turning upward, but MACD not yet golden cross, bias toward consolidation

Long Strategy (Conservative)

- Entry: $70,800 ~ $71,000 (retest 4H mid-band with bullish close)
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- Take Profit: $71,600 (first target) → $72,500 (second target)
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- Stop Loss: $70,200 (break 24H low + lower band)
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- Position Size: 10%~15%, Leverage ≤10x

Short Strategy (Cautious)

- Entry: $71,600 ~ $71,800 (upper band rebound with long upper wick)
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- Take Profit: $71,000 (first target) → $70,500 (second target)
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- Stop Loss: $72,000 (break upper band + prior high)
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- Position Size: 8%~12%, Leverage ≤8x

Wait-and-See Strategy (Defensive)

- Breakout above $71,800 with volume → chase long, stop loss $71,200
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- Break below $70,309 with volume → chase short, stop loss $70,800
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- No signal → strictly observe, no forced entries

Risk Management Must-Read

1. Single trade loss ≤1% of total capital
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2. Total position ≤30%, strictly prohibited from full position/high leverage