【$TRUMP Signal】Bull-Bear Critical Point Battle, 1H Level Approaching Direction Choice

$TRUMP The 1H level is consolidating with decreasing volume near EMA20 (3.5116), with price and open interest (OI) remaining stable, indicating a temporary balance between bulls and bears. The 4H level is still within the 3.46-3.63 oscillation range, with an unclear direction. Current buy depth is accumulating around 3.50, but selling pressure begins to appear from 3.51, creating a subtle imbalance. Price is declining while OI remains stable, suggesting it’s not major selling by large players but rather a shakeout after a bullish liquidation. The 1H RSI (51.57) is neutral, waiting for a directional signal.

🎯 Direction: Watchful (Pending Orders)

⚡ Breakout Buy Order: 3.525 - 3.530 (Reason: Hold above 1H EMA20 and break through the upper boundary of the hourly consolidation zone)

⚡ Pullback Buy Order: 3.485 - 3.495 (Reason: Rebound to the strong support zone of 4H EMA50 and the lower boundary of the dense trading area)

🛑 Stop Loss: 3.460 (Reason: Break below key 4H support and recent swing low)

🚀 Target 1: 3.580 (Reason: Previous high resistance on 4H and upper boundary of the oscillation range)

🚀 Target 2: 3.630 (Reason: 1.618 Fibonacci extension after breaking out of the range)

🛡️ Trading Management:

- Position Suggestion: Light position (Reason: Direction is unclear, waiting for confirmation signals, belongs to a left-side battle)

- Execution Strategy: If any pending order is triggered, reduce position by 50% at Target 1, and move stop loss to entry price. The remaining position aims for Target 2. If price cannot quickly move away from the cost zone, consider breakeven or slight profit exit.

Depth Logic: The current negative funding rate (-0.0093%) combined with stable OI indicates short positions need to pay fees, suggesting a potential short squeeze. The buy/sell ratio on the 1H level has turned to 0.75 in the latest candle, showing some buy activity is starting to activate. The key is whether the price can effectively hold above 3.51-3.52 and attract additional capital. A volume breakout could lead to a short squeeze; if it falls below 3.48, a test of lower support may occur.

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