2026-01-19 05:31:29

When participating in $RIVER's price prediction, there is actually some hesitation in my heart. It's not a matter of analytical ability, but rather that the market at that time was too clean — although there was significant volatility, every position had buyers stepping in, making it difficult to randomly pick a number and guess correctly.

Ultimately, locking in at the 21 price level was essentially a comprehensive judgment of the market trend at that time. Factors such as the amplitude of fluctuations, liquidity depth, and willingness to buy all pointed to this range. Every price movement reveals the true participation level of the market, making decisions more grounded and cautious.

This is how trading works — behind seemingly simple numbers, there is actually an observation of subtle market changes and a weighing of risks.

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RugResistant

· 8h ago

The market is too clean, making it harder to guess. I understand this feeling. The strong buying pressure indicates that someone is supporting the market.

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ChainDoctor

· 8h ago

The market is too clean, making it harder to deceive, which is why you need to watch the buying pressure. If there's a strong willingness to buy, you're confident to bet; otherwise, you have to back down. The 21 level is really tightly locked in; liquidity is right there.

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BearMarketSage

· 8h ago

The market is so clean that the buying willingness is so strong, indicating that the big players are still supporting the market. The 21 level indeed has some significance.

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SellTheBounce

· 8h ago

A too-clean market is actually the most dangerous signal; the more bagholders there are, the closer we are to a crash. Market bottoms are always deceptive like this; at the 21 level, it's basically a gamble on probability. There are always lower points; don't be fooled by your own analysis. It looks logical and well-supported, but in reality, it's just that you guessed right once compared to others.

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Ser_APY_2000

· 8h ago

The market is too clean, making it harder to deceive; I have deep experience with this. When the willingness to buy in is strong, it's indeed more difficult to bottom fish. The 21 level was a good choice.

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AirdropSweaterFan

· 8h ago

To be honest, I find the 21 price level a bit uncertain, but I can see that you definitely didn't guess blindly—it's so clean on the chart that it's actually harder to guess, isn't it?

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CafeMinor

· 8h ago

A market that's too clean makes it harder to deceive, I agree with that. The willingness to take over definitely needs to be clear, otherwise you're just getting trapped. The 21 level was a pretty good choice, at least it has logical support. Liquidity depth sounds simple in theory, but actually doing it is really difficult. Sometimes the most dangerous thing is when the market looks very "healthy." Winning the bet is good luck; seeing it clearly is true skill. Wait, are you doing a post-mortem or did you really lock it in beforehand?

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