【Crypto World】New signals emerge from the prediction market. The market odds have already provided an answer regarding the Fed Chair nomination during Trump’s term.
Support for Warsh has surged to 40%, up 6 percentage points from earlier, currently leading. Closely behind is Hassett, with 38% support, also on the rise (+7%). The two are in competition, with only a 2 percentage point gap.
In contrast, support for Waller has decreased from 15% to 9% (-6%), indicating a clear cooling of interest. Rieder remains on the fringe with 7% support, up slightly (+6%), but far from mainstream.
Notably, Rieder will hold a key meeting with Trump and Bessant on Thursday, potentially playing an important role in the nomination discussion. This meeting could be a turning point for the Fed Chair selection. For the crypto market, the Fed’s policy direction is crucial, and the market is closely watching the developments.
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RealYieldWizard
· 01-13 13:10
Warsh is really impressive, dropping by 40% directly? Hassett is under a lot of pressure now.
Waller is directly cooled off, dropping from 15 to 9, which is outrageous.
Thursday's meeting feels like it could be a variable; who knows what Trump is thinking.
The change of Fed Chair really has a big impact on the crypto world; we need to keep an eye on this.
The probability difference is only 2 points, so there’s still suspense.
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GasBankrupter
· 01-13 13:03
Will Warsh's surge reach 40%? Everyone's betting on this now. Can Thursday's meeting really change the game?
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SatoshiChallenger
· 01-13 12:46
Interesting, a 2% difference can decide everything? Data shows that prediction markets are just emotional machines; a rumor at a meeting can directly reverse the trend.
Warsh, Hassett—who takes the stage... Objectively, what the crypto community should be concerned about isn't that, but what they will actually do once they are on stage.
Ironically, everyone is betting on this Thursday's meeting, but the lesson from history is clear—policy changes never follow the market script.
If you ask me, instead of obsessing over these data fluctuations, it's better to look at how many of those "certain" predictions in history actually came true in the end.
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RegenRestorer
· 01-13 12:46
Hey Warsh, this wave is directly taking off, 40% is it serious...
Hassett is also chasing, just 2 points away, feels like the real reversal was around Thursday?
Although marginal, Rieder being able to meet with Trump alone is interesting... As crypto enthusiasts, we’re just watching how the Federal Reserve handles it.
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GasGasGasBro
· 01-13 12:44
Warsh has taken off directly, this odds say it all
Whether Thursday's meeting can change the situation depends on what Trump thinks
Hassett is only 2 percentage points behind, so the suspense is still quite big
The change of Federal Reserve Chair indeed has a big impact on the crypto circle, we need to keep a close eye on it
Rieder is just a backup, but who knows if the meeting can turn things around
This routine feels like it's building momentum for Warsh, it's too obvious
If you ask me, with such a small gap between the two, there will definitely be big news on Thursday
Waller dropping so quickly is a bit sudden
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ParanoiaKing
· 01-13 12:42
Warsh has taken off directly, can you trust these odds... Thursday's meeting will be quite a show.
Fight for Federal Reserve Chair: Warsh's support soars to 40%, conference to be held on Thursday
【Crypto World】New signals emerge from the prediction market. The market odds have already provided an answer regarding the Fed Chair nomination during Trump’s term.
Support for Warsh has surged to 40%, up 6 percentage points from earlier, currently leading. Closely behind is Hassett, with 38% support, also on the rise (+7%). The two are in competition, with only a 2 percentage point gap.
In contrast, support for Waller has decreased from 15% to 9% (-6%), indicating a clear cooling of interest. Rieder remains on the fringe with 7% support, up slightly (+6%), but far from mainstream.
Notably, Rieder will hold a key meeting with Trump and Bessant on Thursday, potentially playing an important role in the nomination discussion. This meeting could be a turning point for the Fed Chair selection. For the crypto market, the Fed’s policy direction is crucial, and the market is closely watching the developments.