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The direction is right, but time is not on our side
If I had chosen the expiration date of December 31, 2025, today this order would have actually resulted in real profits. Haha, but unfortunately, just because I was a week late, I missed out.
The same line of thinking and logic, the same correct view of the trend, but I still couldn't catch up with the rhythm of a major exchange launching spot trading. Market prediction is so magical — your judgment might be completely correct, but the variable of time can ruin everything.
The more deeply you participate, the more you feel that sense of helplessness. It's not that your analytical ability is lacking, but that the market never evolves as expected. Time costs, liquidity windows, entry timing... each one can determine whether you ultimately profit or suffer a loss.
This is what market prediction has taught me: no matter how perfect the forecast, it can't beat being "early" or "late."