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The greenback could face significant headwinds throughout 2026 if the Federal Reserve delivers deeper rate cuts than currently priced in. Analysts are flagging a key risk: a deteriorating labor market might force policymakers to cut more aggressively than consensus expectations, putting downward pressure on USD valuations.
This scenario matters because a weaker dollar has historically created tailwinds for alternative assets. When the Fed pivots to easing while employment shows cracks, capital typically rotates away from dollar strength, creating opportunity windows elsewhere in the market.