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Valuation quick judgment rule, let's see how this framework works:
Product attribute items? Estimate roughly at 10 times the medium-term profit.
Regular companies or tokens? Use the 10 times forward PE of PE three years ahead as a reference.
Businesses with moat and genuine competitiveness? For these, you can assign a 20x forward PE because of stability and growth prospects.
Now there's a key variable—if the governance environment of the project has risks, or if policy uncertainty is high (the term called "mafia state model"), then apply a 30% discount, directly reducing by 30%.
This logical approach is very practical when evaluating on-chain projects at different stages. From infrastructure with stable cash flow to emerging protocols with high growth but volatility, adjusting multiples and discounts can quickly filter options.