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#2026年比特币行情展望 The one-hour trend of Ethereum this wave is worth paying close attention to.
The price has formed a strong sideways consolidation around 3263, exactly stepping on the upper band of the Bollinger (3248.77), which is a typical signal of gathering strength. The Bollinger Bands have narrowed to the extreme, with resistance at 3298.12 above and support at 3199.41 below, while 3180.71 has been a solid base tested multiple times previously. Volatility is being compressed to the limit, and a directional choice is imminent.
From a technical perspective, the bullish structure remains intact: the price stays above the key support at 3180, with lows gradually rising, forming a classic upward pattern. The MACD's DIF and DEA are near above the zero line, looking somewhat weak, but this is actually a common sign of bulls gathering strength before a major resistance, not a reversal signal.
The key battle is locked at 3298. Once the one-hour candle closes firmly above this Bollinger upper band, the consolidation pattern will break, and the upside space will be fully opened, with previous highs becoming new targets.
On-chain data provides stronger confirmation: the number of holders continues to increase, indicating that smart money has been quietly accumulating, laying the foundation for subsequent gains. Meanwhile, ongoing upgrades and iterations within the Ethereum ecosystem are also strengthening the fundamentals, making this not just a technical rebound but a core part of long-term development.
Currently, we are in the final stage of gathering strength before a breakout. The market is brewing opportunities amid hesitation. My straightforward judgment: breaking 3298 is only a matter of time, and a significant rally is brewing.
Practical operation: positioning near the 3240-3250 support zone is an opportunity, with stop-loss definitely placed below 3180. Once a clear breakthrough and stabilization above 3298 occur, add to your position accordingly.
Market law works like this: fear bottoms out, and hesitation leads to rise. What is needed now is patience and decisive action at critical moments.