2026-01-07 02:24:38

Sharing an observation about Litecoin's recent trend.

Looking at the rally that started in mid-December last year, the cycle pattern seems to be roughly 1 to 2 months for a complete wave, with the midpoint around 1.5 months. Based on this rhythm, the top of this round is very likely to form at the end of January, which coincides closely with the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision meeting on January 29.

Today is January 7, and the market has indeed been a bit weak these days, but honestly, this might not be a bad thing; it could actually be a sign of accumulation. My main focus is on next week's performance—especially Monday and Tuesday. If there’s no significant movement in these two days, then time might really be running out, and this rally could come to an end.

Another noteworthy detail is that the market concentration has increased, indicating that some funds might be quietly positioning themselves, and a pump cannot be ruled out. However, how likely this is remains uncertain; we’ll have to wait for next week’s data. If there’s still no movement by Tuesday, then we’ll accept this outcome.

LTC0,66%

View Original

This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.

14 Likes

Reward
14
6
Repost
Share

Comment

0/400

bridgeOops

· 01-07 14:36

If we can't rally on next Monday and Tuesday, this wave will really be over. The Federal Reserve that day is probably just a ceiling.

View OriginalReply0

BridgeTrustFund

· 01-07 09:27

Uh... If it doesn't rise on Monday and Tuesday, it might be over? Feels like the timing is a bit tight haha --- The day the Federal Reserve announces the interest rate decision, a wave of gains will be harvested. This trick is so old --- An increase in concentration isn't necessarily a good thing; it might just be a prelude to a sell-off --- Waiting for next week's data? I'm already prepared to accept losses haha --- Top out at the end of January... I bet 5 bucks that it will continue to rise in February --- No real momentum, it's obvious no one is willing to take the bait --- If this wave can't break out of the rhythm, it's indeed time to exit; can't be helped

View OriginalReply0

ContractExplorer

· 01-07 02:51

See you on Tuesday for the showdown—either a rally or death.

View OriginalReply0

DaoTherapy

· 01-07 02:50

Next Monday and Tuesday need to be watched closely, otherwise this wave will really be over.

View OriginalReply0

SleepyArbCat

· 01-07 02:45

Hmm... Another theory about the 1.5-month cycle. It sounds plausible, but I'm still sleepy... Are Monday and Tuesday really that crucial? It feels like I'm just gambling on the market again.

View OriginalReply0

RugDocScientist

· 01-07 02:44

If it doesn't move on Monday and Tuesday, it will really be over, but I don't think the funds will be that stupid. They will definitely try one more wave. Wait until the Federal Reserve meeting on the 29th; that's when the real watershed will be. The increase in concentration is quite interesting; we need to keep a close eye on it. Next week will reveal the true colors—either a rally or a death. Litecoin is teasing us this time; if there's no big move soon, it's time to cut positions.

View OriginalReply0