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Interesting observation comes — Bitcoin spot ETP experienced an approximately $1 billion net outflow in December 2025. Does this sound like a demand collapse? Not really. Data analysis shows that this withdrawal was mainly driven by year-end tax-loss harvesting, a routine operation for institutions to offset annual gains.
More importantly, how quickly did the reversal happen? On the first trading day of 2026, the ETP absorbed nearly $500 million, directly contradicting previous pessimistic expectations. What does this indicate? It shows that major players have not truly exited the market.
On-chain data also confirms this — those OG whales have not shown signs of concentrated selling. They are waiting, watching. Meanwhile, institutional-grade asset tokenization has made substantial breakthroughs, with DTCC receiving SEC approval, indicating that traditional financial giants are accelerating their entry.
This is not a sign of recession; it’s turnover and restructuring. Retail investors were scared off by taxes, but institutions are lurking at low levels. The market always works this way — during moments of fear, it’s easiest to see who the real players are.