2026-01-07 01:24:51

Market sentiment has already been pushed to the limit. Trump publicly pressured the Federal Reserve to "cut interest rates," while Powell continues to emphasize policy independence. Behind this tug-of-war is a deeper dilemma: the US debt has piled up to $36 trillion, with interest payments nearly surpassing military spending. Cutting rates has almost become the only way out.

CME data is very eye-catching—probability of rate cuts in March skyrocketed to 89%. The market is sensing a liquidity release, with BTC soaring past $93,000 and gold ETFs attracting unstoppable inflows. It seems the feast has already begun.

But reality is far from simple. The room for rate cuts in 2025 has actually been greatly compressed. US bond volatility has been tumultuous in recent months, and policy reversals can trigger tens of thousands of liquidations in a single day. Traders using high leverage are now walking a tightrope, and a slight wobble could send them tumbling.

How to break the deadlock? Here are a few ideas for reference:

First, keep a close eye on Federal Reserve officials’ statements. Every shift in their tone could be a signal for the market to change direction, sometimes in an instant. Second, the main theme of anti-inflation assets must be maintained. The recent correlated rise of BTC and gold clearly shows that big funds are piling into these assets. And one of the most practical points—during extreme market conditions, position management is always more profitable than chasing the latest trend.

Two questions worth pondering repeatedly: Will Powell ultimately be overwhelmed by political pressure, or will he stick to the anti-inflation stance? If the market really starts to loosen liquidity significantly, will you go all-in on Bitcoin, bet on gold, or diversify into other assets? Feel free to share your views in the comments and see how everyone is positioning their holdings.

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LiquidatedTwice

· 01-09 20:26

If Powell really gets pushed to the limit, I'll go all in.

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ImpermanentLossFan

· 01-09 14:39

If Powell really can't hold on, then we have a good show to watch 89% probability is already written on the face, now it's just a matter of who blinks first Walking on a tightrope is indeed uncomfortable, leverage is truly a devil Position management > chasing gains, this phrase must be engraved in your mind BTC and gold rising together, the meaning of big funds is very clear, just follow Policy fluctuations lead to liquidation, this reality is really cold Liquidity coming is a good thing, but if the rhythm is misjudged, it’s all for nothing The volatility of US bonds is so fierce, only warriors dare to go all in The attraction of gold ETFs indicates that many people have already started to defend The probability of rate cuts soaring to 89%, but I still feel a bit uneasy

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GasFeeCrybaby

· 01-09 10:13

Everyone is talking about interest rate cuts, I just want to ask who dares to go all in Leverage players are really on the edge this time Can Powell withstand the political pressure? That's the key BTC has broken 93,000, still want to chase? I think it's risky Position management is indeed important, but everyone is going all in Can political pressure really crush the Federal Reserve? I'm relieved if gold and BTC rise together Hundreds of thousands of liquidation brothers... it's a bit scary I'd rather be cautious and diversify my layout

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JustHereForMemes

· 01-07 19:46

89% probability or something, it just feels like casino odds --- High leverage nowadays is really a Grim Reaper, daily news of liquidation --- Powell, that guy, has to hold on, or it's really over --- I still didn't dare chase BTC past 93,000, it feels a bit risky --- Holding US debt can blow up just by being there, who dares to play --- Good risk management is important, but I just can't control my hands --- If massive liquidity really comes, gold should go even crazier --- Walking the tightrope is really an apt description, going all in will definitely fall --- Trump's daily pressure doesn't help, he's not the Federal Reserve Chair --- Going all in on Bitcoin is like gambling your life, diversification is the right way --- If this rate cut fails, the market will have to go through a reset --- What are the anti-inflation assets stacking up? Feels like everyone is waiting for the right moment --- Will political pressure win? I hope not for my wallet --- After 93,000, I don't dare to follow anymore, better to stay steady

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ShibaOnTheRun

· 01-07 01:54

Can Powell hold up? That's the real key. --- 89% of the predictions are full of hot air, but the number of liquidations is the real story. --- High-leverage players are now sitting ducks; a single command and they're done for. --- Keeping a close eye on the Federal Reserve's words makes sense, but it's easy to talk and hard to do—you're risking everything. --- BTC surging to 93,000, but I still didn't dare to go all-in; it feels a bit虚. --- The big liquidity injection is really happening. Who benefits more—gold or Bitcoin? I'm now torn apart. --- Talking about position management—it's clear that those who can't see through the market are most likely to get wrecked. --- With 36 trillion in debt hanging there, rate cuts are inevitable. The question is, how much will they cut? --- Those guys who went all-in, their mentality must be崩了 now. --- Political pressure VS anti-inflation—these two are at odds, and the market is just a casino. --- Retail investors are just being chopped up by US bond volatility—nothing else.

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RugResistant

· 01-07 01:47

Powell can't hold on anymore. Politics are politics, debt is debt, in the end, they still have to loosen the policy. High leverage now is just a casino, see who has better luck. I've long noticed the recent correlation between BTC and gold; big funds are really stacking up. Too many traders are getting liquidated; repeatedly, it's hundreds of thousands of people, it's scary. Position management is indeed more profitable than chasing hot spots; this must be engraved in my mind. An 89% probability of rate cuts—this number can't be fooled. When BTC hit $93,000, I thought it was a bit risky; now it's even more uncertain. Political pressure, to put it plainly, is still about money. Without solving the debt problem, independence is pointless. Going all-in on one asset is a way to find death; diversification is the right path. The market now is just betting that the Federal Reserve will back down. I think so too, but I lack confidence.

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BridgeTrustFund

· 01-07 01:40

89% probability sounds great, but a margin call is a real margin call --- Powell can't hold it anymore; political pressure has never been soft --- High leverage now is basically suicide; I see people around me dropping one after another --- Going all-in on Bitcoin? Crazy, diversification is the real key --- The volatility of US bonds makes it feel like Powell's days are numbered --- Position management is really more important than anything else; only after losing money do you understand --- The correlation between gold and BTC, big players are playing chess --- Every time Federal Reserve officials speak, the market changes face; so tiring --- 36 trillion in debt, lowering interest rates is truly the only cure --- Focusing solely on position management is enough --- It feels like a rate cut is a done deal; just waiting for the moment to break the deadlock

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ReverseTradingGuru

· 01-07 01:36

Can Powell withstand political pressure? I don't think so. --- What does an 89% probability indicate? It means the risk is right in front of us. --- High leverage traders are doomed. --- BTC and gold moving up together is a very obvious signal; big players are all bottom-fishing. --- Position management really makes more money than all-in; lessons learned the hard way. --- Repeated policy reversals have caused hundreds of thousands to get liquidated; how is this game played? --- Liquidity release sounds great, but it's actually a sign of upcoming rip-offs. --- The key is how Powell chooses: either admit defeat or maintain the stance; there's no third option. --- Holding tightly to anti-inflation assets, everything else is a trap. --- With 36 trillion yuan in debt, is cutting interest rates the only way out? That would mean flooding the market with liquidity. --- Trump's push for a coup is just like that; the market has long had a contingency plan. --- I'm still diversifying; those who went all-in on Bitcoin ended up crying. --- Who can endure days of walking the tightrope? It's better to stay low-risk and stable.

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ForkYouPayMe

· 01-07 01:31

Can Powell really withstand not cutting rates? I think it's a toss-up. --- With 36 trillion in debt weighing down, rate cuts are basically a given. --- High-leverage traders are now really sitting ducks; a wave of liquidations is the main concern. --- Instead of guessing what Powell is thinking, look at how much big money is pouring into BTC and gold. --- An 89% probability sounds good, but come March, a policy shift could easily turn into a quick short. --- Position management > chasing hot topics; this is not just talk. --- Are friends who are all-in on Bitcoin sleeping well now? --- With US debt volatility bouncing like this, who dares to go all-in? --- The coordinated rise of gold and BTC is no coincidence; big money is showing you what "anti-inflation" really means. --- The probability that political pressure could bring down Powell is actually hard to say, but the 36 trillion debt speaks volumes. --- The key is to watch how Federal Reserve officials respond; one word can trigger millions in liquidations.

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MeaninglessApe

· 01-07 01:26

If interest rate cuts can't come, my friends with high leverage need to wake up. Feeling that a wave of bankruptcies is coming. I bet Powell won't give in; this guy is a bit tough. An 89% probability sounds comfortable, but when things really go wrong, it's not worth a penny. The linkage between gold and BTC soaring together is ridiculous; it feels like everyone is speculating on expectations. Position management sounds good in theory, but in reality, it still depends on luck. Don't believe politicians' words, everyone; they turn on you faster than flipping a book. What to go all-in on? Still, let's wait and see. If 2025 really involves easing monetary policy, then I might believe this approach.

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