#2026年比特币行情展望 $BTC $ETH $PEPE

🚨 Economists Warn: Rapid Deterioration in the Job Market, the Federal Reserve May Be Forced to Implement Aggressive Easing

Renowned economic analyst David Rosenberg recently made a bold prediction: the U.S. employment situation has evolved from "moderate adjustment" to a true "recession signal," with the unemployment rate potentially surpassing 6%. At that point, the Federal Reserve will have no choice but to initiate aggressive rate cuts in 2026—five times a year, totaling 125 basis points of extreme easing.

Does it seem not so serious? The unemployment rate rising from 4% to 4.6% sounds manageable. But underlying data is warning loudly: October’s corporate layoffs hit a recent high, while hiring has plummeted sharply. Consumer confidence in jobs has fallen to its lowest post-pandemic point. Rosenberg bluntly states: "This is a precursor to the unemployment rate testing 6%."

What’s darker? Many white-collar layoffs are packaged with generous severance, but the real economic shock is still ahead. The 3.4% GDP growth in Q3 2025? He calls it "an illusion." The bottom line truth is: real income has stagnated, and consumption is entirely dependent on tax cuts for blood transfusions.

What does this mean for the crypto market? Currently, the market expects the Federal Reserve to cut rates at most 1-2 times, but if Rosenberg’s judgment proves correct, aggressive easing policies will inevitably trigger a liquidity rebound, which could significantly stimulate risk assets. Historical experience shows that easing cycles often lift high-risk assets—including cryptocurrencies.

The question is: will inflation automatically subside, or is the Federal Reserve about to fall into passivity? The upcoming policy shift in the market—whoever sees it clearly will seize the opportunity.