#DOGE

The Dogecoin community is swinging between the "moon" optimistic meme and the pessimistic chart trend. Here is the current outlook:

1. **Technical Battle** – Analysts are divided on a breakout above $0.15 and a drop to $0.05

2. **Whale Activity** – Transfers of $85 million dollars indicate accumulation, but selling could also occur

3. **Interest in ETF** – Grayscale's application has sparked a $1 expectation, but delays test patience

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### 1. Symmetrical Triangle Suggests Rise to $0.60

"$DOGE broke out of a 4-month triangle, with volume tripling — the target increase is expected to be 95%, provided the $0.227 level holds."

**What does this mean:** This technical pattern indicates growing institutional investor interest, but stable trading volume is needed for confirmation. The $0.227(50-week moving average) has now become a key support level.

### 2. Bear Flag Warning of 76% Drop

"DOGE has completed 76% of our predicted decline for 2024 — breaking below $0.12 will open the path to $0.05 by mid-2026."

**What does this mean:** The downward channel starting from November 2024 is still ongoing. Breaking the December low of $0.142 could accelerate selling, although oversold RSI(34) suggests a short-term rebound.

### 3. Whales Accumulated 1 Billion DOGE

"Addresses holding between 10 and 100 million DOGE increased by 100 million coins over 30 days — this pattern resembles the pre-2021 bull market."

**What does this mean:** Large holders are accumulating at lows in 2025, despite retail activity declining( daily active addresses decreasing by 15% per month). The $0.13-$0.15 range is viewed as a strategic accumulation zone.

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## Summary

Overall sentiment on Dogecoin is mixed: technical indicators show conflicting signals, and whale activity hints at potential volatility spikes. Expectations for ETFs and seasonal memes support optimism, but DOGE’s high inflation(+5 billion coins) and declining retail activity limit upside potential. Close watch on the $0.136-$0.156 consolidation zone — any breakout in either direction could set the tone for Q1 2026. Currently, Shiba remains difficult to predict.