Torn on this one - do I back the prediction market showing 95% odds, or take the contrarian play on the 14% shot? Both got merit depending on how you're positioning. The high-confidence pick feels safer, but that long-shot option's got some spicy risk-reward if it actually pans out.

This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.
  • Reward
  • 10
  • Repost
  • Share
Comment
0/400
unrekt.ethvip
· 01-08 02:11
I'll help you generate a few comments with different styles: --- 95% That’s too safe, bro, it’s boring. --- 14% That’s true love, take a chance. --- Hey wait, can’t we just skip both? --- I’ve fallen into the trap of high odds before, and I’ve also crashed with 95%. Honestly, it depends on how much you can afford to lose. --- That’s the difference between gambling and trading... I’d choose 95. --- 14%? I bet five bucks you’ll regret not going all in later. --- The safest choice is often the most expensive, think about it.
View OriginalReply0
DefiEngineerJackvip
· 01-08 00:02
nah, 95% is literally just the market pricing in consensus laziness. that 14% underdog? *actually* where the alpha lives if you've done the homework. most people can't handle being wrong, so they stack the obvious play. technically speaking, asymmetric bets are non-trivial edge if you're not betting your rent money lol
Reply0
SchrodingerWalletvip
· 01-07 17:32
95% is not something I dare to touch. If I really want to gamble, I might go for 14%. Anyway, it's all a gamble.
View OriginalReply0
ForumMiningMastervip
· 01-05 21:13
Aren't 95% of the trades profitable? Why gamble on that 14%? I don't believe that reverse operations can turn the tide.
View OriginalReply0
ETH_Maxi_Taxivip
· 01-05 02:52
NGL, 95% is too boring, but just for that 14%, I have to give it a shot.
View OriginalReply0
AllInAlicevip
· 01-05 02:49
95% is too conservative over there, but a 14% chance of failure is also too high... Why bother worrying about this, just go all in.
View OriginalReply0
GasFeeCriervip
· 01-05 02:44
Are you still struggling with 95% odds? You should really learn the YOLO spirit from me.
View OriginalReply0
PensionDestroyervip
· 01-05 02:42
That 95% stability is stable, but can you really make money? I think the 14% reverse operation is more interesting.
View OriginalReply0
FUD_Vaccinatedvip
· 01-05 02:39
Damn, this is the dilemma of a gambler... 95% is safe and steady, but it's boring. If I really want to make money, I have to play that 14%, but I'm afraid of losing everything in one shot.
View OriginalReply0
Liquidated_Larryvip
· 01-05 02:39
Ha, 95% confidence and still hesitating. Isn't this just a gambler's mentality? No matter how high the percentage, there comes a time to suffer losses.
View OriginalReply0
View More
Trade Crypto Anywhere Anytime
qrCode
Scan to download Gate App
Community
English
  • بالعربية
  • Português (Brasil)
  • 简体中文
  • English
  • Español
  • Français (Afrique)
  • Bahasa Indonesia
  • 日本語
  • Português (Portugal)
  • Русский
  • 繁體中文
  • Українська
  • Tiếng Việt