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The Federal Reserve's Critical Moment in 2026: Can the 125 Basis Point Rate Cut Expectation Materialize?
The Federal Reserve's policy meeting at the end of January is about to begin. Two voices are dominating the market: one anticipates an aggressive 125 basis point rate cut for the year, while the other worries about policy swings. The decision at 3:00 AM Beijing time on January 29 could become a key turning point for the trend of crypto assets this year.
📊 Dilemma Under Policy Pressure:
With rising unemployment and inflated economic data, the central bank chair faces the ultimate choice: to loosen or not. Conservatism could trigger recession risks, while aggressive moves raise concerns about reigniting inflation. Uncertainty about whether the White House will exert pressure and how market expectations will adjust makes the start of this year full of suspense.
💎 Clues from Capital Flows:
Safe-haven funds are reallocating. Traditional safe assets are losing appeal, and crypto assets with clear community consensus are becoming new liquidity targets. From Bitcoin's hard asset nature to various community-driven tokens, the market is voting with real funds—serving as a hedge against the traditional policy environment.
What do you think about this game? Will the economy experience a soft landing or a hard landing? Share your judgment in the comments 👇