January 5, 2026 BTC Contract Key Technical Levels

Currently confirmed to be in a multi-cycle resonance bullish trend. The focus moving forward is on "trending with the market, pulling back for long entries," with fewer short positions. Now entering the second week of January, market conditions are recovering. When placing orders, be sure to set proper stop-losses.
Bull-Bear Threshold: 90,450.7 USDT (original upper boundary of the range, now a breakout confirmation point and trend lifeline. If the price closes above this level, the bullish trend is intact).

Resistance Levels (Long Target Zones):
P3: 94,554.9 (daily previous high, core target)
P2: 92,400.0 (key psychological and technical resistance)
P1: 92,000.0 (recent high near 92,083.1, initial resistance)

Support Levels (Long Entry Zones):
S1: 90,450.7 (core long position/trend watershed, high value on first pullback)
S2: 89,272.4 (recent platform support, strong correction level)
S3: 87,717.9 (original 4-hour strong support, breaking below may damage the upward structure)

Probabilistic Trading Discipline:
The above levels are technical estimations, not exact points. Orders can be placed with a fluctuation of 100-150 points around these levels.
Take-profit and stop-loss distances: beginners can set at 1:1 ratio (today’s stop-loss distance: 1000 points). Experienced traders should execute and reduce positions by 50%-75%, then move to break-even to hold the position.
Maximum of 2 preset trades per day (long and short setups).
If daily cumulative loss reaches 10% of capital, forcibly shut down to rest.

Core Trading Logic:
• From a higher timeframe perspective, the price remains below the 100,000 level, with the long-term structure still in a wide-range oscillation. The weekly chart has clearly broken above the short-term moving average, indicating that the long-term downtrend “may” be ending and a large rebound cycle is beginning. (Note that “may” is used; now entering the second week of January, market conditions are starting to recover. Avoid chasing rallies or panic selling, especially in spot trading. Set stop-losses properly when opening positions. )
• From a medium timeframe perspective, the price has risen on a clear bullish candle, breaking above all short-term moving averages, and has strongly surpassed the multi-week 86,244.8-90,450.7 consolidation zone upper boundary. The structure has shifted from consolidation to a clear daily-level bullish trend.
• From a short-term perspective, the current price shows continuous upward movement after breakout, with short-term moving averages in a standard bullish alignment. The current structure is a strong upward-driving wave. The core operation is “only long, no short, look for pullback opportunities to add longs.”

Probabilistic Trading Conclusion:
The market has entered a daily-level bullish trend. The high-probability strategy is: abandon the idea of betting against the market, only go long (if you want to short, beginners should only short at the last point, experienced traders can short at the second last point, and add a position at the final point with a 1000-point stop-loss and exit on breakout). The main strategy is to patiently wait for the price to pull back to the key support S1(90,450.7) to enter long positions. In a trend, it’s better to miss opportunities than to make mistakes. Abandon cleverness; rely on the natural barriers of market supply and demand (range boundaries) with fixed risk setups.
Use a consistent 1:1 profit-loss ratio, allowing market inertia to reward you. By consistently executing this simple, repetitive system, you will achieve stable profits.

The above analysis is based on publicly available market information and does not constitute investment advice. Cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile; be aware of market fluctuation risks. Readers should conduct rational analysis, make cautious decisions, and bear the risks themselves. #加密市场开年反弹