#数字资产动态追踪 Geopolitical Sudden Shift, Gold Welcomes Dual Positive Mechanisms

$XAU $BTC $ETH

Last weekend, geopolitical tensions suddenly escalated. Once the U.S. initiated military actions against high-level officials in Venezuela, the conflict quickly escalated from covert to overt, and the situation plunged into the unknown. Explosions rocked the Venezuelan capital for consecutive days, military aircraft circled at low altitude, and the tense atmosphere continued to ferment. Authorities directly characterized it as external military provocation—this instantly ignited global risk aversion sentiment.

The short-term logic is clear: sudden conflict → influx of safe-haven funds → surge in gold buying → rising gold prices. The support levels below will be more stable, and this event is definitely a positive factor for price gains. But what’s truly worth paying attention to is not the conflict itself, but the new round of geopolitical uncertainty it brings. From this incident alone, it’s not enough to be the main driver of long-term gold price increases. However, whether from short-term sentiment or long-term risk aversion logic, this geopolitical tension is a genuine double-edged positive for gold.

It’s important to note that gold remains in a consolidation phase overall. This event only changes the short-term rhythm and does not alter the bigger picture.

**Entry Strategy**: If there’s a sharp rally at the open, do not chase high—there’s still room for a pullback, and you could get caught by emotional trading. If a pullback occurs, that’s a good entry point; deploying in batches is the safest approach. Support levels are around 4250 and 4300, which are solid entry points.

**Risk Management**: Those with larger positions should consider trimming some on rallies and wait for a pullback to re-enter. Leverage traders need to assess their margin capacity; when risks are high, they must reduce positions during rallies. Physical silver can be allocated in batches as planned, but currently, entering leveraged silver positions is generally risky and not recommended.

**This Week’s Expectation** (1.5-1.11)
Gold is expected to rise towards 4300-4250, with targets in the 4380-4420 range

(For reference only. Trading based on this information involves risk.)