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a16z predicts: The prediction market will enter the "AI Agent Trader" era by 2026
As someone building in this field, I have already felt this trend:
🔍 The number of contracts will explode
→ Not just major elections, but covering all niche events
⚖️ Solving disputes with AI
→ Traditional manual judgments are too slow, LLMs can quickly provide structured reasoning
🤖 AI agents becoming complex traders
→ They can scan signals across the entire network to identify gaps between "market pricing" and "true probabilities"
Prediction markets are not about replacing polls, but about making polls better.
The future of information is real-time pricing.