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The recent turmoil in the global financial circle is truly lively! Trump is pressuring Federal Reserve Chair Powell, not only openly stating he wants to fire him but also threatening to sue on the grounds of "gross misconduct"—the reason being the $2.5 billion Fed headquarters renovation project. Essentially, it's an attempt to force Powell to cut interest rates to 1%. This political and financial showdown is stirring up the global liquidity landscape.
Interestingly, Powell was initially promoted by Trump. However, when the rate-cutting pace didn't meet Trump's expectations, he became a "thorn in the side." Trump has explicitly stated: "Anyone who disagrees with my rate-cutting policy should never expect to sit in the Fed Chair position." His preferred candidates, Kevin Hasset and Kevin Warsh, are dovish and likely to implement more easing policies if they take office.
What is the current situation? The Fed has cut interest rates three times in a row by 2025, bringing the rate down to 3.5%-3.75%. But by the December policy statement, the Fed hinted that it might only cut once in 2026. Compared to Trump's 1% target, the gap is enormous. The divergence and political pressure have already created a standoff.
This game could have a significant impact on the crypto world. Previously, when Trump exerted pressure, the US dollar index briefly fell to its lowest since 2022, and US bonds were heavily sold off. As a high-risk asset, cryptocurrencies are especially sensitive to liquidity changes—just the expectation of rate cuts caused Bitcoin to retreat over 30% in a month, with 180,000 traders liquidated.
If Trump truly pushes interest rates down to 1%, a large influx of liquidity could flood the market, potentially triggering an epic rally in the crypto space. Conversely, if political interference undermines the Fed's independence, the dollar's credibility might collapse, leading to risk-off selling, and the crypto market could be bloodied.
Powell's term as Chair runs until May 2026, with board members' terms lasting until 2028. This power struggle is far from over. What do you think? Can Trump push rates down to 1%? Will this game bring a liquidity frenzy to the crypto world, or will it trigger another wave of liquidations?