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The meeting minutes at 3 a.m. often have a greater impact on your wallet than daytime news.
Recently, the signals from the Federal Reserve are quite interesting. On the surface, they are arguing over "whether to cut interest rates," but in reality, the game is much more complex. One faction wants to continue cutting rates to suppress inflation, while the other hints that they may need to loosen monetary policy next year to rescue the market. Both sides have their own agendas, and the crypto market is like an outsider spectator being pushed around by these invisible hands.
Many people misunderstand a key point. Cutting interest rates sounds good for the crypto world, but in fact, Fed rate cuts often reflect underlying economic problems. Their primary goal is always to stabilize the dollar system, and the crypto market is just a peripheral player in this chess game.
This time, the real issue in the minutes isn't "whether to cut or not," but "how long to cut." What if the Fed only symbolically cuts once or twice, and high interest rates continue to haunt the global financial markets like a nightmare for years? Those opportunities you think are for bottom-fishing might actually be traps set by big players for retail investors.
In such uncertainty, the most dangerous thing is emotional-driven decisions. At 3 a.m., people are most susceptible to information overload and making regretful choices afterward. Opportunities seem to be right in front of you, but in reality, they might just be illusions created by the market.
A few shared principles for surviving: First, avoid impulsive actions immediately after key data releases. Second, pay close attention to the Fed's wording regarding the interest rate maintenance cycle, as this determines how much ammunition you need to prepare. Third, in the crypto market, survival is always more important than quick profits.
Every official statement from the Fed is like a mirror, reflecting not the economic fundamentals, but your own mindset. Are you investing based on logic and data, or just following the crowd and gambling? The answer to this question determines your fate in this cycle.