2025-12-30 08:22:45

It's another year-end market review. Bitcoin is currently stuck oscillating between $87,500 and $88,000, with 24-hour price changes basically flat (-0.3% to +0.4%), and intraday volatility ranging from 87k to 88.5k. It briefly surged above 90k some time ago but then pulled back, and now it’s still bouncing within the 85k to 90k range.

Ethereum's performance is slightly weaker, with prices fluctuating between $2,930 and $3,015. The fundamentals have actually improved significantly this year, but the price has shown little upward movement. The total market capitalization of cryptocurrencies is around $3.01 to $3.04 trillion, with a 24-hour decline of about 0.4%. Bitcoin’s market share remains at 57% to 58%. Trading volume is relatively low, mainly due to the year-end holiday effect.

The most striking aspect is market sentiment—the Fear and Greed Index has been stuck in extreme fear (around 24) for several days. Profit-taking sell-offs at year-end combined with macro uncertainties have left retail investors in a panic sell mode, and sentiment is extremely subdued. Interestingly, large holders (whales) have been continuously net buying in the $80k range, indicating that institutional confidence has not completely collapsed.

What truly attracts capital is safe-haven assets. Gold spot prices have surged to $4,320 to $4,450 per ounce, with an annual increase of over 70%, hitting a new all-time high. Precious metals like silver are also reaching record highs. This indicates a significant capital flow from the crypto market into traditional safe-haven assets, which is the most obvious trend at year-end.

On the stock market side, the US S&P 500 index is around 6,900 to 6,930 points, with an annual gain of 16% to 18%, approaching historical highs, and it experienced a slight pullback today. The Shanghai Composite Index is around 3,960 to 3,965 points, with an annual increase of about 16%, performing relatively steadily supported by policy measures.

Looking ahead, Bitcoin is likely to continue trading within this range in the short term. With market sentiment so extremely bearish and safe-haven funds flowing into gold, the structural opportunities in 2026 are what to watch. Market institutions are still optimistic about a potential breakthrough to $100,000 in Q1, but for now, it’s advisable to hold a light position and wait for the year to turn. The global New Year’s atmosphere is strong, with fireworks countdown events ready, and holiday season consumption is warming up. Let’s see what 2026 brings.

BTC1.26%

ETH2.35%

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YieldFarmRefugee

· 3h ago

Whales are eating up liquidity at 80k, while we retail investors are still following the trend and cutting losses. The gap is really huge... Gold has soared to a new all-time high, funds have long moved to safe havens, and the crypto circle is just so unimpressive. Consolidating is getting annoying; might as well go for the New Year, and see what happens in 2026. Institutions say Q1 will hit 100,000, but I think it's doubtful. For now, just hold a small position and survive. Ethereum's fundamentals are so good this year, yet it still gets suppressed. Truly speechless. This market is stuck; nothing can move. When retail investors panic and sell off, that's often an opportunity, but... it might also keep falling. Let's wait until after the New Year; no rush anyway.

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Web3ExplorerLin

· 3h ago

hypothesis: the current market structure is basically a bifurcated oracle problem... whales accumulating at 80k while retail panic sells is literally the byzantine generals dilemma playing out in real-time, except the "generals" actually have conviction lol

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MercilessHalal

· 3h ago

Whales are desperately accumulating at 80k, while retail investors are still panicking and selling off. The gap is really incredible. ETH's fundamentals are so strong, yet the price is the weakest. It's funny. Gold has surged over seventy points; all the money in the crypto world has really gone to safe-haven assets. Sideways trading until next year, anyway I've already reduced my holdings and relaxed. The $100,000 thing, let's see if it can survive until 2026 before talking. Haha.

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WalletsWatcher

· 3h ago

Once again, it's the end of the year. Large investors are lurking at 80k, while retail investors are panicking and selling off. Quite ironic. ETH's fundamentals have improved over the past year, yet the price still can't move. That's ridiculous. Whales are eating up the chips, indicating that no one has fully exited yet. I actually believe this wave of bottom accumulation. Gold has already surged to a historic high. Funds are indeed moving towards safe havens. Cryptos can only continue to stagnate. Light positions for the New Year. See you in 2026 for the real show. Is it true or not? I'll stock up first.

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PrivacyMaximalist

· 3h ago

Gold has already risen 70%, and our coins are still sideways... Funds are clearly fleeing. Whales are bottoming out at 80k, while retail investors are still panicking and selling. The gap is really huge. Wait, institutions are so optimistic about breaking 100k in Q1, why are they now advising to lighten positions... This trick feels a bit familiar. It should be like this at the end of the year. After the New Year, let's watch the show. Whether 2026 will really take off or not depends on fate. ETH's fundamentals have improved so much, but the price is still low... Truly speechless.

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CoffeeOnChain

· 3h ago

Whales are frantically buying at 80k, while retail investors are still cutting losses here. Haha, I laughed. --- ETH is both weak and playful; good fundamentals don't matter, the price just won't die or go up. --- Gold has risen 70%, and we're still losing here, truly incredible. --- Extreme fear at 24 points, indicating the bottom might be near? Don't overthink it, see you next year. --- Let's watch fireworks during the New Year, and get hyped again in 2026.

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AlphaBrain

· 3h ago

Whales are疯狂扫货 at 80k, while retail investors are so scared they run to buy gold... This stark contrast says what? BTC is sideways, so it's best to stay conservative and light before the New Year, no need to tinker. It's the usual year-end trick, funds are moving to gold for safe haven, a quiet crypto market is normal. 90k was just a flash in the pan, we still have to wait for the Q1 drama, no rush. The sentiment index is at 24, is it really that pessimistic? Whales don't buy into this. ETH's fundamentals are good but the price is lagging, this is pretty much the fate of this year. Looking forward to the opportunities in 2026, just time to hold on now.

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