2025-12-30 08:21:38

Last year's downward trend lasted until September, and only after the rate cut did the market start to rebound. The atmosphere before and after the Spring Festival was quite good, but after Trump issued the coin, the market only celebrated for a few days before starting to adjust again. There have been over a hundred liquidations this year, which is really tough.

Recently, I spent three months calming down, focusing on market observation and review. Honestly, the current market lacks a clear bullish narrative, and various candlestick patterns are being drawn. The risk of a continued downward slide is always hanging over us. In this environment, retail investors should mainly focus on swing trading, with the core principle: control your position size.

Currently, the opportunity point that looks relatively good is BULLA. SQD has been fully closed at 0.113. If you are bullish, choosing not to trade is a simple decision—because the risk of decline is high, the profit margin is small, and the risk of trying to chase higher isn't worth it.

Conversely, BULLA can attempt a short position, with a target around 0.486 to open the first position. My personal judgment is that the probability of continuing upward isn't high, but the key is to do a good job of taking profits and cutting losses. Overall leverage should not exceed 10x; this is an experience gained from past losses. This wave of decline might be an opportunity, but only if you survive long enough to see that day.

SQD9,57%

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GateUser-addcaaf7

· 7h ago

The phrase about being liquidated hundreds of times really hit home, truly a once-in-a-lifetime experience. --- I also learned the hard way about the 10x leverage red line. --- Controlling position size sounds nice, but executing it is too difficult. --- BULLA at 0.486 short? Feels a bit aggressive. --- A three-month cooling-off period is indeed necessary; I tend to keep riding the waves. --- The phrase "Living to see that day" is brilliant, it hits hard. --- Compared to choosing coins, I'm more afraid of mental breakdowns. --- Swing trading sounds easy, but selling at the bottom and buying at the top is the norm. --- SQD fully closed out; I can't tell if it's smart or just panic selling. --- The downward trend before the rate cut was truly a living hell.

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DefiEngineerJack

· 7h ago

well *actually* the leverage math here is fundamentally flawed... 10x on a sideways market? that's just asking to get liquidated. empirically speaking, every trader who survived 2023 learned this the hard way lol

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MoneyBurnerSociety

· 7h ago

Over a hundred liquidations and still able to review and survive, this mentality is truly incredible... --- That line about tenfold leverage really hit home; I’ve experienced it firsthand. --- The SQD full liquidation operation, I truly took the risk warning to heart. Sometimes being naive is also wisdom. --- "Living to see that day," this is the real survival rule in the crypto world, more true than any technical analysis. --- Try shorting BULLA, I see you’ve turned liquidation into a rational bet.

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MidnightSeller

· 7h ago

Watching the liquidation happen hundreds of times has been exhausting, which is why I'm now considering whether to reduce leverage. Oh no, I think your view is still too conservative. BULLA's current state isn't that bad. Speaking of 10x leverage, that's really the bottom line. I previously went all-in with 20x and almost didn't make it. Hmm... I've heard a thousand times that controlling position size is important, but the real question is how many can actually do it? The decision to close positions on SQD was spot on; taking profits and securing gains is indeed more comfortable. I'm actually a bit looking forward to a decline opportunity, just worried that this might turn into another grinding phase. Shorting BULLA? I'll look at the K-line again and decide, don't rush in. The most frustrating thing is this kind of directionless market; technical analysis can be justified in many ways. During the days Trump issued coins, I was also overly excited, and the cost was a bit high. Seeing opportunities while alive is no joke; I need to do proper calculations and not mess around blindly. This round of review has some insights; at least it's more reliable than my chaotic operations.

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FromMinerToFarmer

· 7h ago

I've truly experienced hundreds of margin calls being triggered, it was really heartbreaking. Living to see that day, that phrase is so well said... Indeed, you have to stay alive first.

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