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Ethereum's recent performance has indeed been strong, but from the 4-hour chart, the situation has become a bit complicated. A downtrend is forming, and selling pressure above is also increasing — indicating that institutions and large investors are quietly withdrawing.
From a technical perspective, it's unlikely that the market will have a major move in the near future, more likely a pattern of oscillating downward. Coupled with the fact that the US stock market has not fully stabilized, the probability of continued selling is quite high. In this environment, a bearish approach is more reasonable.
The first target for Ethereum in the near term is around 2890; if this level is broken, it could head straight to 2850. The probability of short-term oscillating downward movement is high, so close attention should be paid to changes in trading volume and institutional holdings. The subsequent policy directions from the Federal Reserve FOMC meeting will also have a significant impact on overall market sentiment.
This period is more suitable for observation than blind trading, waiting for clearer signals before making decisions.