Sharing some recent market observations. After the last Japanese policy implementation, the market reversed and surged. Many people thought their trading ideas were opposite to the trend. But the reality is, these news have been in the open for a while, and those paying attention have known all along that they would take effect starting in January.



Looking at the current trend, it has been oscillating from last week until now, which is normal. The question is, how long will this oscillation last? My estimate is about another half month, during which there may be short-term breakout directions. Why am I so confident? Don’t forget there’s a major event — the upcoming change of the Federal Reserve Chair. As soon as this person makes a move, the market will definitely change.

So, how to operate before this news actually materializes? My advice is straightforward: don’t hold onto positions stubbornly. If you’re holding, it means your short-term strategy has already gone off track. Stop-loss when needed, don’t wait for the market to turn around and save you — often, that only results in bigger losses. Act at the right moment, and wait until the trend is truly clear.
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CryptoFortuneTellervip
· 7h ago
You're teaching people to cut losses again, speaking so casually. How many can really do it at critical moments? I've known about these policies for a long time, so why are we still caught off guard? Half a month? I bet there will be a change this week. The Federal Reserve's tone has become even more tense. Those holding positions are all gamblers. I genuinely believe the safest approach right now is to stay in cash and wait for signals. Saying there will be volatility for half a month—aren't you just torturing people? I can't take it anymore. Stop-loss, stop-loss—damn it, stop-loss. After stopping the loss, the market reverses and rises again. Isn't this a common occurrence? The news about the Federal Reserve changing personnel feels exaggerated. It probably doesn't have that much influence. Right now, this market is a psychological game. Whoever panics first, dies first.
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GateUser-c799715cvip
· 7h ago
That's right, holding onto positions blindly is really an art of losing money. I caused my account to go negative just two months ago doing the same thing. Stop messing around, wait until the Federal Reserve's variable actually materializes before taking action. Volatility is indeed annoying, but it's more annoying to be trapped. Cut your losses when needed; there's nothing shameful about it. Your analysis is reliable. The news side can indeed be spotted half a day in advance, it all depends on who reacts faster. Instead of guessing how things will go in half a month, it's better to clear out bad positions first. Moving lightly is the key. That wave in Japan, many people got hit with a counterattack and are still regretting it.
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LiquidityWizardvip
· 7h ago
If you don't cut losses harshly, the losses will be even harsher. This saying is becoming more and more painful.
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GasFeeSobbervip
· 7h ago
This wave of the market is indeed somewhat contrarian, but toughing it out really isn't worth it. It was time to cut losses long ago. Half a month of volatility, and we still have to endure it. The real turning point will be when the Federal Reserve changes leadership. Instead of guessing, it's better to wait until the trend is clear before taking action. Don't let losses snowball. All the news is out in the open, and ironically, those who stubbornly hold on are the ones who end up suffering the most. Now is the time to wake up. Don't think the market will save you; that's simply not realistic.
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