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The prediction of character deaths in Season 5 of "Stranger Things" caused a big joke on Polymarket. The bettors' predictions mostly failed, while those who stuck to rational analysis ended up laughing last.
One Polymarket trader benefited greatly. He made a bold judgment on the fate of the eight main characters—no one would die in Season 5. Although this prediction was initially ignored by the market and the odds were pitifully low, he chose to stick with it. In the end, this trade earned him about $143,000.
The key was his timing of entry. While the market was still debating various death hypotheses, he had already locked in his position at a super low price. As a result, when the new trailer was released and key plot points were revealed, the market collectively reacted—turns out everyone had overcomplicated things.
This is the magic of prediction markets. Not following the crowd, not being emotional, speaking with data and logic—often allows for successful bottom-fishing during chaotic odds. Such reversals happen every day on Polymarket.