The market in the past two weeks has indeed been testing the patience of trend traders. Many are asking about the next trading direction.

Honestly, no one can be 100% accurate. If you were completely confident about the market, you wouldn't have opened long positions at 8:00 this morning. If the weekly chart has completed a move, and you want to initiate an upward move on the weekly chart, you should have already closed your short positions. Opening both long and short positions simultaneously precisely indicates that there is no absolute certainty in the current market judgment.

However, after careful consideration, this plan is currently the most prudent choice.

**The key observation point is in the range of 88,300 to 89,300**. If the daily close stays above 88,300, consider closing shorts and switching to longs. Otherwise, breaking below 80,000 is also a high-probability event. In other words, from the perspective of avoiding missing out, it is necessary to allocate some long positions at this stage. But at the same time, to hedge against the last wave of decline, the previous short positions must be retained, and their size should be larger than the long positions.

The question is, what should traders who do not hold short positions do? To go long, pay attention to these points:

First, to identify the top or bottom on the left side requires extreme position management or extremely precise entry points—at least one of the two. If neither can be achieved, then frequent stop-losses are the only fallback, which will significantly reduce overall gains.

Second, the reason for the long decision at 8:00 this morning and the reason for not closing these long positions yet are the same—there are short positions hedging behind.

Third, if you always cannot hold your positions or close early, then the right-side trading rhythm will suit you better. What is needed now is patience and waiting.

Given that the vast majority of market participants are engaged in intraday short-term trading, one suggestion worth noting is: temporarily stop frequent trading. Wait for the large-scale trend to end, and resume trading once the market re-enters a oscillating mode.

There are three reasons: pure technical analysis cannot determine the true effectiveness of breakouts or breakdowns. The breakout of the daily triangle convergence requires waiting for a complete daily close to confirm, and short-term trading decision cycles cannot accommodate 24 hours of waiting. Finally, the current volatility range you observe is usually smaller than the actual fluctuation range the market will experience.