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Golden Tips for Entering the Market Before the Spring Festival#2025Gate年度账单
1. Positioning Rule: Total position not exceeding 30%, single trade not exceeding 5%
Before the Spring Festival, funds tend to flow out and liquidity tightens, making heavy positions prone to sudden liquidation. Just like in the past at Northwest Securities doing proprietary trading, reducing positions before the holiday, now trading cryptocurrencies requires discipline—light positions ensure a stable New Year.
2. Enter only at key levels, never chase or panic sell
Watch Bitcoin support at $88,000-$89,000 and resistance at $90,500-$91,000; Ethereum support at $3,000-$3,020 and resistance at $3,070-$3,100. Stay firm at intermediate levels to avoid being shaken out by volatility.
3. Stop-loss is a lifeline; place orders in advance without relying on luck
Long positions should have stop-loss 2%-3% below strong support (e.g., Bitcoin at $87,000, Ethereum at $2,960), short positions above strong resistance. Breakouts mean exit immediately—no holding through losses or adding to positions.
4. Clear all small altcoins, keep only mainstream coins
Small altcoins tend to lack liquidity before the holiday, making it hard to sell. In the past, many small stocks plunged before the holiday; the same applies in crypto. Bitcoin and Ethereum are the safest bets before the festival.
5. Focus on short-term trades, never hold overnight
Market volatility increases before the holiday, with gaps likely overnight. Take profits daily, even small gains, and avoid holding positions through the holiday. Short-term trading is the key to success before the festival.
6. Avoid high leverage; contracts should not exceed 5x
High leverage accelerates liquidation during volatile periods. Even with accurate market judgment, a sudden spike can wipe out your position. At Northwest Securities, they never used high leverage; in crypto, always respect risk.
7. Don’t gamble on the “Spring Festival Effect,” rely on technical signals
Over the past 10 years, Bitcoin often declined before the festival, but with institutional dominance this year, the “Spring Festival Effect” may weaken. Don’t guess the market or follow rumors—base decisions on support, resistance, and volume.
8. Take profits gradually, avoid chasing extreme points
For example, sell 50% of long positions at $3,060-$3,080, and hold the rest with a trailing stop. Making a profit before the holiday is enough; don’t aim to sell at the highest point. Lock in profits to realize gains.
9. Stay away from news-based speculation, avoid sudden risks
Macroeconomic news and regulatory updates before the holiday can trigger black swan events. Don’t chase rallies or sell-offs based on rumors. Like in research at a brokerage, trust only data and technical patterns, not rumors.
10. Keep a calm mindset; if no good entry points, stay in cash and observe
Most pre-holiday markets are volatile. If you don’t see a precise entry, be patient—staying in cash is not missing out but avoiding risk. Trading is a marathon; after the festival, there will be clear opportunities. No need to force trades before the holiday.
Summary: The core principles for entering before the festival are four words—“Stable, Light, Fast, Strict”—choose stable levels, keep light positions, trade quickly, and enforce strict stop-losses. Protect your capital to make big gains after the festival!