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Recently, Ethereum's performance has indeed been perplexing—oscillating within a range for the past two weeks, seemingly without direction. In reality, this trend hides the market's rhythm. As a trader with years of experience navigating the crypto market, I want to share an observation: today could very well be the key moment to break the deadlock, especially during the time window from 12:30 to 15:30 noon.
Whether we can effectively break through the 28,000 level will directly impact our profit expectations before the end of the month. This is not purely a technical prediction but based on the underlying logic of the market.
Let me start with a common market rule: the longer the consolidation period, the greater the potential strength of the subsequent directional move. But the problem is, many only see this and overlook another equally important factor—the timing window for the breakout. Why am I focusing on today’s 12:30-15:30? There are two core reasons.
First, from a cyclical perspective. This sideways movement has lasted nearly half a month. According to the typical rhythm of major players controlling the market, this should already be the stage for making a directional decision. If there’s no significant action today, the subsequent withdrawal of market funds will accelerate—no one wants to hold a non-volatile asset for long. Once funds start flowing out, the cost for the main players to achieve a breakout will multiply geometrically. Simply put, if the big players don’t act today, they’ll regret it tomorrow.
Second, volume data is speaking. Over the past three trading days, trading volume has been steadily increasing. Such a level of volume cannot be manufactured by retail traders. This clearly indicates that the main players are accumulating positions or adjusting their holdings. Past experience with similar patterns shows that a scenario of "volume leading, price lagging" often releases suddenly at a certain point. The 12:30-15:30 window coincides with the most active trading hours globally, making it the golden opportunity for the main players to initiate a move.