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To stabilize profits in the crypto world, you need to learn how to read the trend. Many people lose money because they enter and exit randomly without understanding the current market rhythm.
Here's a practical method for making informed judgments:
**First, look at the big picture**
Open the candlestick chart and set it to the 1-hour timeframe. Focus on the moving average system—if 5 moving averages are neatly trending upward and the price is steadily above the moving averages, with support holding during pullbacks, this indicates a clear uptrend. Conversely, if all moving averages are trending downward and the price stays below them, with rebounds failing to break resistance, it’s a standard downtrend signal. If the moving averages are intertwined and the price jumps around unpredictably, it’s a sideways range, which I generally avoid trading.
**Next, focus on details for confirmation**
Switch to the 15-minute timeframe to find entry points. In an uptrend, each pullback near previous lows tends to rebound, and the lows are progressively higher—this is healthy upward movement. When a pullback reaches a support level, it’s a good entry opportunity. In a downtrend, each rebound hits previous highs and then turns downward, with highs decreasing step by step. When a rebound reaches a resistance level, consider shorting.
**Don’t forget volume**
This is a detail many overlook. During an uptrend, increasing volume on upward moves and decreasing volume on pullbacks indicate strong buying pressure and a stable trend. Conversely, increasing volume during declines and decreasing volume during rebounds suggest selling dominance, making the downtrend hard to reverse. If volume fluctuates irregularly, it’s likely a sign that the trend is about to change, so stay alert.
**Core advice**
Don’t always try to catch the bottom or sell at the top—that just invites trouble. As long as the larger cycle’s moving averages are not chaotic and the price hasn’t broken key support levels, follow the trend. Simplicity and straightforwardness are often the most effective.