2025-12-29 14:22:43

I recently came across an analysis by macro researcher Jesse Eckel, and the perspective is quite interesting— the next crypto bull market might not arrive in 2025, but rather be truly triggered in 2026. 💥

This challenges many people's understanding. We are used to marking cycles with Bitcoin halving events, but this time the logic seems to have changed. Eckel believes that what truly drives a bull market is no longer just the halving event itself, but the macroeconomic environment behind it—especially the synchronized appearance of global liquidity and economic expansion.

Think about the major bull markets in history; they all share a common point: abundant liquidity + a healthy economy. Currently, the rate hike cycle is nearing its end, and countries are ready to loosen monetary policy. By 2026, if these conditions truly align, the bull market might not just be a rebound but a more sustained and widespread rally.

This means we need to change our perspective on market analysis. We can't just focus on the halving calendar; we also need to pay attention to macro indicators like Federal Reserve movements, employment data, and inflation trends. The cycle might be delayed, but once the economic fundamentals align, the foundation for gains will be more solid.

The market is still oscillating, but smart capital is already positioning itself. Lastly, I want to say—bull markets always reward those with patience. Are you ready to shift from the "halving narrative" to the "economic narrative"?

BTC-1.87%

View Original

This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.

17 Likes

Reward
17
4
Repost
Share

Comment

0/400

airdrop_huntress

· 11h ago

Wait, it won't explode until 2026? Then all my efforts over the past two months would be wasted. I might as well short options to make quick money.

View OriginalReply0

ser_ngmi

· 11h ago

Wait, wait, wait, it won't explode until 2026? How am I supposed to survive these two years... If I had known earlier, I wouldn't have sold so early.

View OriginalReply0

CoffeeNFTrader

· 12h ago

Damn, do I have to wait until 2026? I can't afford to hold my coins in limbo for that long. --- There's some truth to it, but it feels like just an excuse to justify getting trapped. --- Liquidity narrative sounds more虚 than halving. Who can accurately predict the Federal Reserve's true intentions? --- Last year, people said there was liquidity flooding the market, and what happened... now it's just a replay of history. --- Wait, isn't this logic just using economics as a shield? Anyway, if the market goes up, it's correct; if it drops, it's just not the right time yet. --- It really depends on the macro environment, but how is this guy so sure about the timeline? Isn't he afraid of eating his words?

View OriginalReply0

rug_connoisseur

· 12h ago

2026年啊，那我还是先活着到那时候再说吧 --- Halving narrative is dead, now we’re focusing on the Federal Reserve? Alright, I’ll listen carefully. --- Honestly, liquidity really, history doesn’t lie. --- Wait, is this implying that the market will continue to stagnate in 2025? My wallet wants to cry. --- Macroeconomic narratives sound sophisticated, but at the end of the day, it’s still about betting on policies and liquidity, no different from halving. --- Be patient? I have no patience, I just have no money left haha. --- If it only explodes in 2026, should I buy the dip now or run away? Everyone. --- I can’t see smart money positioning; I only see retail investors like me getting cut every day.

View OriginalReply0