Next Week Macro Outlook: Federal Reserve Minutes May Hint at Rate Cuts Next Year



Despite the holiday season in overseas markets this week, gold, silver, and platinum prices all surged to record highs, continuing the historic rally of precious metals at the end of the year. Amid rising risk aversion and expectations of rate cuts, spot gold repeatedly hit new all-time highs, with a cumulative increase of over 70% this year. Silver's performance was even more aggressive, breaking through integer thresholds and setting new records, with a single day surge of over 10% on Friday, making it the third-largest asset globally.

On Wednesday at 03:00, the Federal Reserve will release the minutes of its monetary policy meeting;

On Wednesday at 21:30, the US initial jobless claims for the week ending December 27;

On Friday at 22:45, the US December S&P Global Manufacturing PMI final reading.

Investors are expecting the US stock market to end 2025 with strong momentum next week, marking another robust year. Major US stock indices are expected to close December higher, having shaken off earlier month volatility caused by weakness in tech stocks, which was driven by concerns over spending in the artificial intelligence sector.
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