2025-12-26 15:10:47

#美联储回购协议计划 A fellow from Jiangxi recently reached out to me, and his state was as bad as it could be—

An account with 200,000 USDT, finally down to just 5,000 USDT.

I looked through his trading records, and the pattern was actually very familiar—

Dozens of trades every day, with fees eating up all the profits; whenever there's a floating gain, he's full of fantasies about doubling; when he sees a drawdown, he kneels and fights hard, waiting for a miracle, but what he gets is liquidation.

I asked him one question:

Are you really trading, or just gambling?

Most people can fall into the same trap he did—

Staring at 1-minute K-line charts, full of dreams of short-term riches, only to end up working for the exchange; holding onto losing positions and comforting himself with "I have faith," until being liquidated; going all-in on new coins, gambling everything, and ending up with the account wiped out.

I set three rules for him:

Switch to 4-hour or longer timeframes for analysis, avoid those meaningless repetitive trades; position management must be strictly enforced, stop-loss is not a suggestion but a bottom line; embed trading discipline into your mind, not based on mood.

Later, I helped him readjust his rhythm. Although he missed some quick market moves, he successfully caught the cycle opportunities in LUNA and several key coins.

In three months, his account recovered to 270,000 USDT.

This path of blindly stumbling alone can lead to deeper and deeper traps.

If you're also repeatedly falling into pits now, maybe it's time to stop, rethink, and readjust your rhythm.

The planning for the next market cycle is already underway. Are you interested in joining, taking it slow and steady, and walking this path further?

LUNA-1.95%

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MissedAirdropAgain

· 5h ago

200,000 to 5,000, and this is the result of brushing 1-minute K-lines every day.

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BottomMisser

· 5h ago

From 200,000 to 5,000, what a ridiculous move, haha

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GateUser-9f682d4c

· 5h ago

Oh no, it's the same old story, I'm tired of hearing it.

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PanicSeller69

· 6h ago

200,000 to 5,000, this guy is really ruthless, but to be honest, anyone watching the 1-minute candlestick chart should reflect on themselves.

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DaoResearcher

· 6h ago

From the perspective of trading behavior data models, this guy's decision-making mechanism has completely deviated from rational expectations. It is worth noting that the 1-minute K-line dependence syndrome is essentially a manifestation of incentive incompatibility—the user's time cost and the exchange's transaction fee income form a zero-sum game, and individuals are inevitably at a disadvantage. According to information asymmetry theory, the repeated daily trading behavior of retail investors fully validates Vitalik's point mentioned in an interview: market participants' cognitive biases are inversely related to their risk tolerance. This "hard resistance" mentality is actually a personal version of governance failure—without checks and balances, decision-making power is entirely dominated by emotions. Back to the data recovery at 270,000, the long-cycle switching has indeed generated positive feedback in the market microstructure. Although some high-frequency opportunities were missed, from the perspective of token economics, sacrificing short-term return volatility to increase survival probability makes this trade-off's marginal effect positive. Therefore, the core proposal is actually one: the constraints on position management must be hard-coded into trading behavior and cannot rely solely on self-discipline.

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