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This wave of market movement is not just about Bitcoin. Recently, spot gold once surged past $4,530 per ounce, hitting a new all-time high with a daily increase of 1.2%; silver performed even more strongly, rising for five consecutive trading days and recently breaking above the $75 per ounce mark for the first time, reaching a high of $75.14. Platinum was also active, reaching a new high of $2,448.25 per ounce, with a year-to-date increase of approximately 170%.
Market analysts believe that the recent rally since the beginning of the month is mainly driven by two factors. First, continuous inflows of speculative capital; second, structural opportunities brought about by liquidity tightening at the end of the year. More importantly, expectations of further interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve next year are strengthening, leading to a weakening of the US dollar. Coupled with escalating geopolitical tensions and rising risk aversion, precious metals have become the preferred safe-haven assets.
Looking ahead, analysts are generally optimistic. Gold prices are expected to approach $5,000 per ounce in the first half of next year, while silver may reach around $90 per ounce. Against this backdrop, paying close attention to macroeconomic developments and their impact on asset allocation becomes especially important.