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What does the cost of crypto-assets actually correspond to?
What is hidden behind the market capitalization indicator? In the crypto industry, this number is calculated very simply: we multiply the current quote of a specific digital asset by the volume of issued units that are in free circulation. Let's apply the formula: market capitalization = price per unit × total quantity in circulation.
Let’s assume a hypothetical scenario: each coin is worth $10, and there are a total of 50 million units in circulation. The product will give us $500 million — this will be the market capitalization of this asset. Sounds logical and simple, but there lies a popular misunderstanding among market participants.
Why Market Capitalization Can Be Misleading
Many mistakenly believe that this indicator reflects the volume of real capital invested in the project. In reality, this is not the case at all. The figure in millions or billions primarily depends on the asset's price, and even a seemingly insignificant price shift can radically transform the entire picture.
Let's consider: if the price rises by just $5 from ( to $15$10 , then the market capitalization will soar from half a billion to ) million. The difference is a quarter of a billion! But in reality, it may only take tens of millions to execute such a price jump in the market. This creates an illusion: people see a rise of $750 million and assume that exactly that amount of fresh capital has flowed into the asset. But calculations show otherwise.
Where the dog is buried: volumes and liquidity
The real scale of the necessary capital to change the price is determined by two interrelated but different parameters — trading volume and market liquidity.
Volume is the amount of assets that have passed through the exchange over a specific period of time. Liquidity, on the other hand, characterizes the ease with which one can buy or sell an asset without significantly impacting its price.
In a highly liquid market with a strong flow of trading, a multitude of orders accumulates at different price levels in the order book. This counteracts sharp jumps — large players, the so-called “whales,” will require huge volumes of funds to move the price in their desired direction. Such a market structure naturally reduces volatility and protects against manipulation.
A different picture emerges on illiquid platforms with thin order books. There, even a relatively small influx of capital can trigger a price spike, significantly altering the market capitalization and paving the way for speculative games.