Eight years ago, in that less-than-eight-square-meter rental room in Guangdong, I used to worry about rent every 15th of the month, even calculating every boxed meal I bought.

Now I own two properties, and my account assets have long surpassed ten million. This turnaround wasn’t thanks to so-called insider info or luck, but started with a small initial capital. After making mistakes and paying my dues, I summed up four survival rules.

I’m writing these down so you can avoid some losses:

**1. Don’t mistake a shakeout for a crash**

When I first started, I saw some altcoin soar and then gradually fall back. I got scared and sold everything, only to watch it double later. Now I get it: after a rapid surge, a gentle decline is usually just a shakeout—hold on and don’t panic. When you really need to run, it’s when massive volume is released and then the price suddenly dives—I dodged a major mainstream coin crash with this trick.

**2. Lack of volume at the top is a danger signal**

Once, a coin was consolidating at a high level, and suddenly the trading volume dried up. I didn’t think much of it, but within days it halved in price. That loss hurt, but it taught me: when the price floats high but volume keeps shrinking, it means funds are quietly pulling out—don’t hesitate to exit.

**3. Real bottoms aren’t made in a day**

I’ve been burned trying to catch bottoms too. After a coin crashed and bounced a bit, I thought the chance had come and went all in, only to be stuck for half a year. Later I realized: a true bottom is usually formed after the drop, with sideways grinding, volume slowly shrinking, and then several days of moderate volume increases—that’s the time to get in.

**4. Volume doesn’t lie**

Price charts can be drawn, candlesticks can be manipulated, but trading volume is the hardest to fake. Now I trade based on two things: whether the volume matches, and whether I’ve let go of my own obsessions. Don’t chase highs, don’t catch bottoms, always keep ammunition for high-certainty opportunities.

After all these years hustling in crypto, I never expected to get rich overnight. But as long as your methods are right, it’s entirely possible to gain a foothold and grow steadily in this market.

ETH-1.29%

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Layer2Arbitrageur

· 12-03 15:34

lmao volume delta doesn't lie, but most people can't read it properly anyway

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BearMarketSurvivor

· 12-03 14:20

What you said makes sense, and the trading volume part is indeed true. But I still think 99% of people simply don't have the patience to wait for that "moderate increase in volume" at the bottom. As soon as they see a drop, they panic, and when they see a rise, they chase.

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NoStopLossNut

· 12-03 14:15

Volume really doesn’t lie, but the problem is that most people simply don’t understand it. --- It’s the same old theory again, but why does no one mention the element of luck? --- Sounds nice, but in reality, it’s just about surviving until the bull market cycle. --- I deeply relate to the point about no volume at the top—I only understood it after losing big once. --- Going all in eight years ago could have made tens of millions, but doing that now would probably have led to liquidation long ago. --- The key is still to survive long enough, to live until the next cycle comes. --- These rules are easy to talk about, but when it comes to execution, everyone has to fight their own greed. --- After reading it all, the most useful still is: don’t chase highs, don’t catch bottoms.

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Aika