#数字货币市场回升 encryption transactions, can this really rely on "guessing"?

Recently, I came across a quite typical operational thought process: someone is convinced that the price will first surge to 3200, then retrace to 2870, and then enter waterfall mode. It sounds like a complete logic, but to be honest—this kind of prediction feels more like a pie in the sky drawn for oneself. When has the market ever followed a script? What you think is a "technical pattern" might just be the ripple created by a certain whale casually dumping.

When faced with a situation where the monthly line is stuck, macro policies are ambiguous, and institutional personnel are in turmoil, some people choose to directly lock positions to avoid the spotlight. This tactic is indeed effective—at least you don't have to stare at the market until your eyes bleed, nor will you get itchy fingers and trade recklessly due to a big bullish candle. But here's the problem: while you're locking in your positions, what if the market suddenly gives you an unexpected reversal? Watching profits slip through your fingers can feel just as painful as losing money.

In the end, the trading industry does not tolerate a gambler's mentality. Instead of strenuously trying to guess the top and bottom, it's better to admit when you can't see clearly. It's wiser to wait until the news is out and the trend is clear before taking action; while you may earn a little less, at least you won't lose your principal in confusion. After all, traders who survive do so not because of one or two miraculous predictions, but because of countless instances of self-discipline where they know when to be cautious.

The market is always smarter than you. Learn to respect uncertainty; sometimes doing nothing is the best strategy.