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Being a bear here is simply retarded.
We are sitting in the perfect macro conditions for an explosive end to the year and in to 2026.
And the charts are saying the same thing.
If you haven't realised it yet, Trump is doing everything he can to juice the economy, and with easing financial conditions about to start...
This is coming together at the perfect time.
- QT ending($90tn mo will now be a surplus in reserves)
- FED will need to stimulate $300bn+ next year
- AI productivity only speeding up(strong stocks)
- Trump putting forward 50 yr mortgages(MBS creation)
- Trump putting forward $2,000 stimulus checks
- Wall street gaining access to 100+ ETFs over 6 months
- GENIUS act enabling US to back stables with T-bills
- $2tn fiscal deficit that can only be solved by printing
Midterms are next year and orange man, the business man president, is going to do everything he can to juice everything and everyone.
You have MASSIVE institutions like JPMorgan coming to the party late, and you think they are going to massively allocate to see the BTC price drop 50% and straight into a bear market?
The macro is unbelievably good for the most liquidity sensitive asset like Bitcoin, and therefore the rest of Crypto.
Doesn't matter whether inherently 50 year mortgages or $2,000 stimulus checks are good, it only matters that a very large amount of liquidity is on the horizon and Trump is goin to do everything he can to keep that train steaming hard.
Bear markets do not start with:
- Lowering rates
- Liquidity expansion
- Liquidity unlocking initiatives
- Booming economy
Eventually, everything will come crashing down again.
- AI bubble will burst(like dotcom bubble)
- Inflation will rise higher again
- Stock market and Crypto markets will blow off
But this will be in 2027 at some point, not 2026.
You have to understand the wider picture otherwise you are going to get fucked by temporary sentiment because prices have been down and make the totally wrong choices.