STRK shorting strategy

Conclusion first:
• Probability of short-term pullback: moderately high (≈60%). A large bullish candle + increased volume pushing to the previous high/psychological level 0.20~0.21 usually leads to profit-taking and a pullback. However, if it maintains above 0.210 with strong volume, it is likely to continue to squeeze.
Key Price Level
• Resistance: 0.2000.210 (24h high/psychological level) → 0.2200.225 (overbought expansion zone) → 0.230~0.235.
• Support: 0.1760.180 (the dashed line area on the chart/daily pivot) → 0.165 → 0.150 → 0.1360.140 (near the 24h low).
shorting entry and stop loss/take profit
Plan A | Shorting on highs (aggressive)
• Entry: 0.203–0.210 place orders in batches.
• Stop loss: 0.218 (conservatively set to 0.222).
• Targets: TP1 0.180, TP2 0.168, TP3 0.155, gradually reduce positions, move the stop loss above the entry.
Plan B | Shorting after confirming weakness (conservative)
• Trigger: Effective drop below 0.176, followed by a rebound not breaking 0.176–0.180.
• Entry: Enter on the pullback under pressure.
• Stop loss: 0.184.
• Target: TP1 0.165, TP2 0.155, tighten profit protection near 0.150.
Replenishing during a rebound and total stop loss
• Only add positions at stronger resistance with volume exhaustion/upper shadow/15m-1h top divergence:
• Top-up 1: 0.205–0.210;
• Replenishment 2: 0.220–0.225;
• Control the pace: Each tier of additional investment should be ≤ 30% of the original position, and avoid pyramid selling.
• Total position invalidation/stop loss: Strongly above 0.210 on daily or 1-hour with volume; aggressive hard threshold must stop above 0.228–0.236.
Trading Discipline and Risk
• With 25x leverage, a 3–4% reversal is very dangerous; it is recommended to reduce effective leverage to ≤10x or to set a stop-loss distance to ≥3% and only risk 1% of the account per trade.
• Quick formula: Position value ≈ (Account funds × 1%) / (Percentage from entry to stop loss). For example, if the stop loss is 3%, then a single trade is approximately 0.33 × nominal position of account funds.
• No shorting: Wait until the resistance zone stagnates or fails to rebound after breaking down before taking action.
When to give up on the shorting strategy
• 1H/4H volume stabilizes above 0.210 and retraces without breaking, or consecutive long bullish candles with increasing volume → considered as trend continuation, bearish logic invalidated.🔥🔥$STRK $BTC $STRK