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The US government shutdown drama may be coming to an end.
On the news front, the House of Representatives is highly likely to pass a temporary funding bill this Wednesday, and the government could resume normal operations as early as Friday. Sounds like good news? But you have to understand—markets never follow conventional logic.
Honestly, the shutdown has indeed hurt the economy's vitality. But markets always move ahead of reality. Right now, everywhere you look, people are shouting "rebound is coming." But let me pour a bucket of cold water: this kind of policy turmoil's actual impact on the market is like throwing a stone into a calm lake—looks lively, but the ripples fade quickly. The real drivers of market trends will depend on whether the Federal Reserve continues to raise interest rates and whether inflation data surprises us.
**A few immature suggestions:**
Short-term traders can focus on sectors directly affected by the shutdown, but don't get carried away chasing highs—when the good news is priced in, that's often the start of a reversal. Keep a long-term perspective; the opportunities after next week might be more worth considering. Don't let this short-term policy noise disrupt your rhythm.
Focus on the leading cryptocurrencies, BTC and ETH. Historical experience shows that whenever there's a signal of policy easing, these mainstream assets are always the first to sense the opportunity and move.
By the way, during this shutdown period, how did you operate? Did you buy the dip or choose to wait and see?